Market comparison
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Cinematography
2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 7 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗15 outcomes · $11K reported volume
Observed 23s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028
Polymarket
Open venue ↗9 outcomes · $4K reported volume
Observed 23s ago
Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Digger Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.5 pp | ||
Dune: Part Three Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 6.5 pp | ||
Fatherland Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 24.5 pp | ||
Project Hail Mary Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 23.5 pp | ||
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 11.0 pp | ||
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.5 pp | ||
Werwulf Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.5 pp | ||
Behemoth! Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Disclosure Day Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Fjord Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ink Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Josephine Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
La Bola Negra Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Minotaur Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Obsession Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Rose Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Wild Horse Nine Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Digger
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Dune: Part Three
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 6.5 pp
Fatherland
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 24.5 pp
Project Hail Mary
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 23.5 pp
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 11.0 pp
The Odyssey
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 4.5 pp
Werwulf
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 4.5 pp
Behemoth!
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Disclosure Day
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Fjord
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Ink
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Josephine
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
La Bola Negra
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Minotaur
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Obsession
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Rose
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Wild Horse Nine
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.