The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Costume Design

2 venues · 42 outcome rows · 11 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

51 outcomes · $34K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

15 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 9s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Digger

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0%

Digger

Open Polymarket ↗

1.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.0%

Digger

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

Dune: Part Three

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

72.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 76.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Polymarket ↗

14.2%

Bid 12.5% · Ask 15.9%

Dune: Part Three

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

I Love Boosters

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

51.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 66.0%

I Love Boosters

Open Polymarket ↗

2.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.2%

I Love Boosters

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 51.0%

I Love Boosters

Open Kalshi ↗

Michael

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

37.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 58.0%

Michael

Open Polymarket ↗

3.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 6.7%

Michael

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Michael

Open Kalshi ↗

Sense and Sensibility

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

58.5%

Bid 46.0% · Ask 71.0%

Sense and Sensibility

Open Polymarket ↗

4.4%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.2%

Sense and Sensibility

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

Sense and Sensibility

Open Kalshi ↗

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

58.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 80.0%

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Open Polymarket ↗

1.7%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.4%

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

The Devil Wears Prada 2

Open Kalshi ↗

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Polymarket ↗

0.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.3%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 28.0%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Kalshi ↗

The Odyssey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

83.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0%

The Odyssey

Open Polymarket ↗

58.5%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 60.0%

The Odyssey

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

Werwulf

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

47.5%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 56.0%

Werwulf

Open Polymarket ↗

6.6%

Bid 5.4% · Ask 7.7%

Werwulf

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

Werwulf

Open Kalshi ↗

Wild Horse Nine

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

42.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 48.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Polymarket ↗

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 36.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Kalshi ↗

Wuthering Heights

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 53.0%

Wuthering Heights

Open Polymarket ↗

4.0%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.6%

Wuthering Heights

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 31.0%

Wuthering Heights

Open Kalshi ↗

Disclosure Day

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Disclosure Day

Open Kalshi ↗

Fatherland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Fatherland

Open Kalshi ↗

La Bola Negra

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

La Bola Negra

Open Kalshi ↗

Movie A

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie F

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie H

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie H · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie I

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie I · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie J

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie J · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie K · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie L

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie L · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie M · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie N

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie N · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie O

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie O · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie P

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie P · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie Q

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Q · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie R

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie R · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie S

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie S · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie T · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie U

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie U · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie V

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie V · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie W

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie W · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie X

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie X · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie Y

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Y · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie Z

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Z · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Project Hail Mary

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Kalshi ↗

The Black Ball

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

79.1%

Bid 75.9% · Ask 82.3%

The Black Ball

Open Polymarket ↗

20.1%

Bid 17.7% · Ask 22.4%

The Black Ball

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.