Market comparison
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Director
2 venues · 35 outcome rows · 9 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗29 outcomes · $28K reported volume
Observed 29s ago
Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗15 outcomes · $3K reported volume
Observed 29s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Christopher Nolan Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.2 pp | ||
Cristian Mungiu Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.5 pp | ||
Denis Villeneuve Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 22.5 pp | ||
Jesse Eisenberg Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 25.0 pp | ||
Martin McDonagh Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.0 pp | ||
Mike Leigh Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 5.0 pp | ||
Olivia Wilde Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 29.5 pp | ||
Peter Farrelly Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.0 pp | ||
Ryusuke Hamaguchi Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.0 pp | ||
Aaron Sorkin Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Alejandro G. Iñárritu Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Alejandro González Iñárritu Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Andrew Haigh Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ben Affleck Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Beth de Araujo Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Christopher Miller Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Curry Barker Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Danny Boyle Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
David Fincher Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
James Ashcroft Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
James Gray Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Janus Metz Pedersen Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Javier Ambrossi Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Javier Calvo Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Joel Coen Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Na Hong-jin Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Nathan Fielder Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Paweł Pawlikowski Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Phil Lord Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Phil Lord and Chris Miller Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sian Heder Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Simon Stone Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Steven Spielberg Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Tony Gilroy Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Christopher Nolan
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.2 pp
Cristian Mungiu
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.5 pp
Denis Villeneuve
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 22.5 pp
Jesse Eisenberg
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 25.0 pp
Martin McDonagh
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.0 pp
Mike Leigh
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 5.0 pp
Olivia Wilde
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 29.5 pp
Peter Farrelly
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.0 pp
Ryusuke Hamaguchi
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.0 pp
Aaron Sorkin
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Alejandro G. Iñárritu
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Alejandro González Iñárritu
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Andrew Haigh
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Ben Affleck
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Beth de Araujo
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Christopher Miller
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Curry Barker
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Danny Boyle
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
David Fincher
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
James Ashcroft
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
James Gray
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Janus Metz Pedersen
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Javier Ambrossi
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Javier Calvo
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Javier Calvo and Javier Ambrossi
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Joel Coen
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Na Hong-jin
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Nathan Fielder
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Paweł Pawlikowski
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Phil Lord
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Phil Lord and Chris Miller
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Sian Heder
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Simon Stone
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Steven Spielberg
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Tony Gilroy
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.