Market comparison
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Hair and Makeup
2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 8 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗13 outcomes · $15K reported volume
Observed 25s ago
Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗15 outcomes · $3K reported volume
Observed 25s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Clayface Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 6.5 pp | ||
Digger Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 20.0 pp | ||
Dune: Part Three Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.0 pp | ||
Michael Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 9.5 pp | ||
Rose Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 7.5 pp | ||
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.5 pp | ||
Werwulf Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.5 pp | ||
Wicker Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 18.0 pp | ||
Cry to Heaven Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Elsinore Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
I Love Boosters Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
I Play Rocky Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
ISG) Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
La Bola Negra Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Madden Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Bride Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Social Reckoning Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
UNABOMBER Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Clayface
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 6.5 pp
Digger
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 20.0 pp
Dune: Part Three
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.0 pp
Michael
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 9.5 pp
Rose
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 7.5 pp
The Odyssey
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.5 pp
Werwulf
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.5 pp
Wicker
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 18.0 pp
Cry to Heaven
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Elsinore
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
I Love Boosters
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
I Play Rocky
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
ISG)
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
La Bola Negra
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Madden
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
The Bride
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
The Social Reckoning
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
UNABOMBER
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.