Market comparison

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Original Screenplay

2 venues · 51 outcome rows · 9 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

62 outcomes · $76K reported volume

Observed 46s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 46s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Original Screenplay
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Behemoth! Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	22.5% Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0% Behemoth! Open Polymarket ↗	33.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 43.0% Behemoth! Open Kalshi ↗	10.5 pp
Club Kid Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.3% Bid 0.9% · Ask 11.8% Club Kid Open Polymarket ↗ 58.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 66.0% Club Kid Open Polymarket ↗	76.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 86.0% Club Kid Open Kalshi ↗	—
Digger Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.8% Bid 1.1% · Ask 10.4% Digger Open Polymarket ↗ 14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0% Digger Open Polymarket ↗	15.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% Digger Open Kalshi ↗	—
Elsinore Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	5.3% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.5% Elsinore Open Polymarket ↗ 20.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 26.0% Elsinore Open Polymarket ↗	25.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 35.0% Elsinore Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fjord Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.6% Bid 1.4% · Ask 11.8% Fjord Open Polymarket ↗ 43.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 48.0% Fjord Open Polymarket ↗	54.0% Bid 36.0% · Ask 54.0% Fjord Open Kalshi ↗	—
Josephine Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0% Josephine Open Polymarket ↗ 9.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0% Josephine Open Polymarket ↗	15.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% Josephine Open Kalshi ↗	—
Obsession Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	6.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% Obsession Open Polymarket ↗ 52.5% Bid 47.0% · Ask 58.0% Obsession Open Polymarket ↗	65.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 69.0% Obsession Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Debut Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	24.2% Bid 19.9% · Ask 28.5% The Debut Open Polymarket ↗ 84.0% Bid 81.0% · Ask 87.0% The Debut Open Polymarket ↗	89.5% Bid 80.0% · Ask 99.0% The Debut Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wild Horse Nine Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	56.5% Bid 55.0% · Ask 58.0% Wild Horse Nine Open Polymarket ↗ 92.5% Bid 91.0% · Ask 94.0% Wild Horse Nine Open Polymarket ↗	89.5% Bid 80.0% · Ask 99.0% Wild Horse Nine Open Kalshi ↗	—
A Place in Hell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% A Place in Hell Open Polymarket ↗ 3.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.9% A Place in Hell Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Artificial Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 56.0% · Ask 70.0% Artificial Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fatherland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.6% Fatherland Open Polymarket ↗ 3.3% Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.7% Fatherland Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Forgotten Island Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% Forgotten Island Open Polymarket ↗ 2.7% Bid 1.6% · Ask 3.8% Forgotten Island Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
I Play Rocky Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% I Play Rocky Open Kalshi ↗	—
Misty Green Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% Misty Green Open Kalshi ↗	—
Movie A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Paper Tiger Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0% Paper Tiger Open Kalshi ↗	—
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.0% Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma Open Polymarket ↗ 14.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0% Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tender Loving Care Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% Tender Loving Care Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Adventures of Cliff Booth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% The Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Black Ball Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.8% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗ 2.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.2% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Drama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0% The Drama Open Polymarket ↗ 21.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0% The Drama Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.7% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Invite Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.2% Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.0% The Invite Open Polymarket ↗ 3.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.7% The Invite Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Odyssey Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗ 4.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.6% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tony Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Tony Open Kalshi ↗	—

Behemoth!

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 24.0%

Behemoth!

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Original Screenplay

Polymarket

Kalshi

Behemoth!

Polymarket

Kalshi

Club Kid

Polymarket

Kalshi

Digger

Polymarket

Kalshi

Elsinore

Polymarket

Kalshi

Fjord

Polymarket

Kalshi

Josephine

Polymarket

Kalshi

Obsession

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Debut

Polymarket

Kalshi

Wild Horse Nine

Polymarket

Kalshi

A Place in Hell

Polymarket

Kalshi

Artificial

Polymarket

Kalshi

Fatherland

Polymarket

Kalshi

Forgotten Island

Polymarket

Kalshi

I Play Rocky

Polymarket

Kalshi

Misty Green

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie A

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie B

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie C

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie D

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie E

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie F

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie G

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie H

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie I

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie J

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie K

Polymarket