Market comparison
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Picture
2 venues · 26 outcome rows · 12 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗22 outcomes · $136K reported volume
Observed 13s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 21, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗16 outcomes · $29K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 4, 2028
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Digger Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.5 pp | ||
Dune: Part Three Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.0 pp | ||
Elsinore Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.5 pp | ||
Fjord Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 19.5 pp | ||
I Play Rocky Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 14.5 pp | ||
La Bola Negra Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 7.0 pp | ||
Project Hail Mary Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 8.0 pp | ||
The Debut Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 7.5 pp | ||
The Invite Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 10.5 pp | ||
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.9 pp | ||
Wild Horse Nine Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 21.5 pp | ||
You Can See Everything Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 9.0 pp | ||
All of a Sudden Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Avengers: Doomsday Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Behemoth! Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Being Heumann Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Club Kid Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Disclosure Day Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Fatherland Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Michael Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Obsession Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Possible Love Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Tender Loving Care Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Adventures of Cliff Booth Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Drama Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Social Reckoning Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Digger
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.5 pp
Dune: Part Three
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.0 pp
Elsinore
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 0.5 pp
Fjord
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 19.5 pp
I Play Rocky
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 14.5 pp
La Bola Negra
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 7.0 pp
Project Hail Mary
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 8.0 pp
The Debut
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 7.5 pp
The Invite
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 10.5 pp
The Odyssey
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 1.9 pp
Wild Horse Nine
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 21.5 pp
You Can See Everything
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 9.0 pp
All of a Sudden
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Avengers: Doomsday
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Behemoth!
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Being Heumann
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Club Kid
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Disclosure Day
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Fatherland
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Michael
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Obsession
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Possible Love
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Tender Loving Care
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
The Drama
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
The Social Reckoning
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.