Market comparison

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Production Design

2 venues · 42 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

49 outcomes · $30K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 38s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $6K reported volume

Observed 38s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Production Design
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Backrooms Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0% Backrooms Open Polymarket ↗ 0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0% Backrooms Open Polymarket ↗	55.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 55.0% Backrooms Open Kalshi ↗	—
Digger Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	59.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 60.0% Digger Open Polymarket ↗ 12.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 21.1% Digger Open Polymarket ↗	42.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 45.0% Digger Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dune: Part Three Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	62.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 73.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗ 16.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗	70.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 80.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗	—
Project Hail Mary Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	63.5% Bid 63.0% · Ask 64.0% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗	60.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 70.0% Project Hail Mary Open Kalshi ↗	—
Sense and Sensibility Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	37.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 50.0% Sense and Sensibility Open Polymarket ↗ 0.3% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5% Sense and Sensibility Open Polymarket ↗	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Sense and Sensibility Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	16.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	78.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 79.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗ 62.5% Bid 56.0% · Ask 69.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗	99.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 99.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗	—
Werwulf Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	49.0% Bid 46.0% · Ask 52.0% Werwulf Open Polymarket ↗ 4.2% Bid 0.3% · Ask 8.0% Werwulf Open Polymarket ↗	35.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0% Werwulf Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wildwood Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.9% Bid 3.6% · Ask 6.1% Wildwood Open Polymarket ↗ 3.6% Bid 2.6% · Ask 4.6% Wildwood Open Polymarket ↗	25.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 35.0% Wildwood Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wuthering Heights Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0% Wuthering Heights Open Polymarket ↗ 0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Wuthering Heights Open Polymarket ↗	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Wuthering Heights Open Kalshi ↗	—
Fatherland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Fatherland Open Kalshi ↗	—
Ink Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Ink Open Kalshi ↗	—
La Bola Negra Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 80.0% La Bola Negra Open Kalshi ↗	—
Movie A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Black Ball Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	96.4% Bid 93.9% · Ask 98.8% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗ 3.2% Bid 0.4% · Ask 6.0% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Devil Wears Prada 2 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% The Devil Wears Prada 2 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wild Horse Nine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 48.0% Wild Horse Nine Open Kalshi ↗	—

Backrooms

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 19.0%

Backrooms

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Production Design

Polymarket

Kalshi

Backrooms

Polymarket

Kalshi

Digger

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dune: Part Three

Polymarket

Kalshi

Project Hail Mary

Polymarket

Kalshi

Sense and Sensibility

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Odyssey

Polymarket

Kalshi

Werwulf

Polymarket

Kalshi

Wildwood

Polymarket

Kalshi

Wuthering Heights

Polymarket

Kalshi

Fatherland

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ink

Polymarket

Kalshi

La Bola Negra

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie A

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie B

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie C

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie D

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie E

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie F

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie G

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie H

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie I

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie J

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie K

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie L

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie M

Polymarket