Market comparison
Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Score
2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 8 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗13 outcomes · $33K reported volume
Observed 53s ago
Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027
Kalshi
Open venue ↗15 outcomes · $10K reported volume
Observed 53s ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Behemoth! Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 34.5 pp | ||
Disclosure Day Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 7.5 pp | ||
Dune: Part Three Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.5 pp | ||
Project Hail Mary Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 39.5 pp | ||
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 11.0 pp | ||
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 10.0 pp | ||
The Social Reckoning Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 8.5 pp | ||
Wild Horse Nine Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 7.0 pp | ||
Digger Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ink Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
La Bola Negra Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Ray Gunn Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Black Ball Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Debut Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Drama Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
The Mandalorian and Grogu Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Toy Story 5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Werwulf Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Whalefall Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
You Can See Everything Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Behemoth!
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 34.5 pp
Disclosure Day
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 7.5 pp
Dune: Part Three
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.5 pp
Project Hail Mary
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 39.5 pp
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 11.0 pp
The Odyssey
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 10.0 pp
The Social Reckoning
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 8.5 pp
Wild Horse Nine
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 7.0 pp
Digger
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Ink
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
La Bola Negra
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Ray Gunn
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
The Black Ball
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
The Debut
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
The Drama
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
The Mandalorian and Grogu
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Toy Story 5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Werwulf
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Whalefall
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
You Can See Everything
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
Kalshi
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.