Market comparison

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects

2 venues · 41 outcome rows · 6 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

39 outcomes · $26K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

15 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Avengers: Doomsday Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 5.8% Avengers: Doomsday Open Polymarket ↗ 41.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 42.0% Avengers: Doomsday Open Polymarket ↗	48.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 58.0% Avengers: Doomsday Open Kalshi ↗	—
Dune: Part Three Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	52.5% Bid 52.0% · Ask 53.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗ 95.3% Bid 93.5% · Ask 97.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗	89.5% Bid 80.0% · Ask 99.0% Dune: Part Three Open Kalshi ↗	—
Godzilla Minus Zero Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.3% Bid 1.3% · Ask 7.3% Godzilla Minus Zero Open Polymarket ↗ 90.8% Bid 90.1% · Ask 91.6% Godzilla Minus Zero Open Polymarket ↗	50.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 70.0% Godzilla Minus Zero Open Kalshi ↗	—
Project Hail Mary Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	25.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 26.0% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗ 84.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 85.0% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗	87.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 97.0% Project Hail Mary Open Kalshi ↗	—
Spider-Man: Brand New Day Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9% Spider-Man: Brand New Day Open Polymarket ↗ 39.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 41.0% Spider-Man: Brand New Day Open Polymarket ↗	35.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0% Spider-Man: Brand New Day Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	17.0% Bid 16.0% · Ask 18.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗ 80.5% Bid 77.0% · Ask 84.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗	88.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 98.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗	—
Clayface Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% Clayface Open Kalshi ↗	—
Disclosure Day Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0% Disclosure Day Open Kalshi ↗	—
Movie A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie K Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie K · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie L Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie L · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie M Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie M · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie N Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie N · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie O Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie O · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie P Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie P · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Q Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Q · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie R Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie R · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie S Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie S · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie T Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie T · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie U Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie U · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie V Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie V · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie W Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie W · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie X Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie X · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Y Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Y · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Movie Z Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Movie Z · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Supergirl Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 15.0% Supergirl Open Kalshi ↗	—
The End of Oak Street Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% The End of Oak Street Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Mandalorian and Grogu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0% The Mandalorian and Grogu Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Sheep Detectives Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 25.0% The Sheep Detectives Open Kalshi ↗	—
Werwulf Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	26.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 45.0% Werwulf Open Kalshi ↗	—
Whalefall Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 25.0% Whalefall Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wildwood Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% Wildwood Open Kalshi ↗	—

Avengers: Doomsday

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 5.8%

Avengers: Doomsday

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Visual Effects

Polymarket

Kalshi

Avengers: Doomsday

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dune: Part Three

Polymarket

Kalshi

Godzilla Minus Zero

Polymarket

Kalshi

Project Hail Mary

Polymarket

Kalshi

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Odyssey

Polymarket

Kalshi

Clayface

Polymarket

Kalshi

Disclosure Day

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie A

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie B

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie C

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie D

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie E

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie F

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie G

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie H

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie I

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie J

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie K

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie L

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie M

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie N

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie O

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie P

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie Q

Polymarket

Kalshi

Movie R

Polymarket