The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Critics Choice Awards: Best Original Screenplay

2 venues · 52 outcome rows · 9 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

62 outcomes · $75K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jul 1, 2027

16 outcomes · $44K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Behemoth!

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0%

Behemoth!

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 9.0%

Behemoth!

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 21.0 pp

Club Kid

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 11.2%

Club Kid

Open Polymarket ↗

55.0%

Bid 53.0% · Ask 57.0%

Club Kid

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 6.0%

Club Kid

Open Kalshi ↗

Digger

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 10.0%

Digger

Open Polymarket ↗

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Digger

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Digger

Open Kalshi ↗

Elsinore

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.5%

Elsinore

Open Polymarket ↗

15.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 17.0%

Elsinore

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Elsinore

Open Kalshi ↗

Fjord

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 8.9%

Fjord

Open Polymarket ↗

46.5%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 49.0%

Fjord

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Fjord

Open Kalshi ↗

Josephine

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.0%

Josephine

Open Polymarket ↗

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Josephine

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Josephine

Open Kalshi ↗

Obsession

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

Obsession

Open Polymarket ↗

48.0%

Bid 44.0% · Ask 52.0%

Obsession

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Obsession

Open Kalshi ↗

The Debut

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

24.9%

Bid 19.5% · Ask 30.3%

The Debut

Open Polymarket ↗

85.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 89.0%

The Debut

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 23.0%

The Debut

Open Kalshi ↗

Wild Horse Nine

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

56.5%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 58.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Polymarket ↗

92.5%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 94.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 44.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Kalshi ↗

A Place in Hell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

A Place in Hell

Open Polymarket ↗

1.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.0%

A Place in Hell

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Artificial

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0%

Artificial

Open Kalshi ↗

Fatherland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Fatherland

Open Polymarket ↗

4.0%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 6.9%

Fatherland

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Forgotten Island

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

Forgotten Island

Open Polymarket ↗

3.4%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 4.8%

Forgotten Island

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

I Play Rocky

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

I Play Rocky

Open Kalshi ↗

Misty Green

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Misty Green

Open Kalshi ↗

Movie A

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie A · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie B

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie B · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie C

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie C · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie D

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie D · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie E

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie E · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie F

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie H

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie H · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie I

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie I · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie J

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie J · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie K · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie L

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie L · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie M · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie N

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie N · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie O

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie O · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie P

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie P · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie Q

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Q · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie R

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie R · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie S

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie S · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie T · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie U

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie U · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie V

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie V · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie W

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie W · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie X

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie X · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie Y

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Y · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Movie Z

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Movie Z · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Paper Tiger

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Paper Tiger

Open Kalshi ↗

Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.0%

Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma

Open Polymarket ↗

13.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 16.0%

Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tender Loving Care

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Tender Loving Care

Open Kalshi ↗

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Black Ball

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.2%

The Black Ball

Open Polymarket ↗

2.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.2%

The Black Ball

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Drama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0%

The Drama

Open Polymarket ↗

20.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 22.0%

The Drama

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.7%

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Invite

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.2%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.0%

The Invite

Open Polymarket ↗

3.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.7%

The Invite

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Odyssey

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.0%

The Odyssey

Open Polymarket ↗

4.0%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.6%

The Odyssey

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Tie

Open Kalshi ↗

Tony

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Tony

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.