The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Critics Choice Awards: Best Supporting Actor

2 venues · 67 outcome rows · 13 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

90 outcomes · $95K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 14, 2027

16 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 3, 2028

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Andrew Garfield

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0%

Andrew Garfield

Open Polymarket ↗

71.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 81.0%

Andrew Garfield

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 19.0%

Andrew Garfield

Open Kalshi ↗

Antonio Banderas

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 9.9%

Antonio Banderas

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Antonio Banderas

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.5 pp

Channing Tatum

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 2.6%

Channing Tatum

Open Polymarket ↗

6.8%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 8.3%

Channing Tatum

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Channing Tatum

Open Kalshi ↗

Colman Domingo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.0%

Colman Domingo

Open Polymarket ↗

20.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 23.0%

Colman Domingo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Colman Domingo

Open Kalshi ↗

Edward Norton

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 2.6%

Edward Norton

Open Polymarket ↗

55.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 62.0%

Edward Norton

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

Edward Norton

Open Kalshi ↗

Jeremy Strong

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.6%

Jeremy Strong

Open Polymarket ↗

11.6%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 20.0%

Jeremy Strong

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0%

Jeremy Strong

Open Kalshi ↗

John Goodman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.9%

John Goodman

Open Polymarket ↗

16.5%

Bid 16.1% · Ask 16.9%

John Goodman

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

John Goodman

Open Kalshi ↗

John Leguizamo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.9%

John Leguizamo

Open Polymarket ↗

74.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 76.0%

John Leguizamo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

John Leguizamo

Open Kalshi ↗

Paul Giamatti

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0%

Paul Giamatti

Open Polymarket ↗

93.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 95.0%

Paul Giamatti

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 38.0%

Paul Giamatti

Open Kalshi ↗

Riz Ahmed

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.8%

Riz Ahmed

Open Polymarket ↗

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Riz Ahmed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Riz Ahmed

Open Kalshi ↗

Robert Pattinson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

6.6%

Bid 5.5% · Ask 7.6%

Robert Pattinson

Open Polymarket ↗

32.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 40.0%

Robert Pattinson

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Robert Pattinson

Open Kalshi ↗

Sam Rockwell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 8.3%

Sam Rockwell

Open Polymarket ↗

73.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 75.0%

Sam Rockwell

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0%

Sam Rockwell

Open Kalshi ↗

Steve Buscemi

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.7%

Steve Buscemi

Open Polymarket ↗

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Steve Buscemi

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Steve Buscemi

Open Kalshi ↗

Actor AA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor AB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor AC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor AD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor AE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AE · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor AF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AF · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor AG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AG · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor AH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AH · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor AI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor AJ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AJ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor AK

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AK · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor AL

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AL · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor AM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AM · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor AN

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AN · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor AO

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AO · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor AP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor AP · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor F

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor F · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor G

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor G · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor H

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor H · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor I

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor I · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor J

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor J · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor K

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor K · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor L

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor L · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor M

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor M · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor N

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor N · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor O

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor O · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor P

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor P · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor Q

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor Q · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor R

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor R · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor S

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor S · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor T

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor T · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor U

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor U · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor V

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor V · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor W

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor W · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor X

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor X · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor Y

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor Y · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Actor Z

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Actor Z · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Adam Driver

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0%

Adam Driver

Open Kalshi ↗

Adam Scott

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.1%

Adam Scott

Open Polymarket ↗

3.4%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 3.4%

Adam Scott

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Charles Melton

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4%

Charles Melton

Open Polymarket ↗

2.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.6%

Charles Melton

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Daniel Craig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.2%

Daniel Craig

Open Polymarket ↗

1.4%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.7%

Daniel Craig

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Guitarricadelafuente

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.1% · Ask 10.9%

Guitarricadelafuente

Open Polymarket ↗

70.0%

Bid 67.0% · Ask 73.0%

Guitarricadelafuente

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Guy Pearce

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.3%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.8%

Guy Pearce

Open Polymarket ↗

4.7%

Bid 3.7% · Ask 5.6%

Guy Pearce

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Himesh Patel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 0.9%

Himesh Patel

Open Polymarket ↗

3.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.9%

Himesh Patel

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

James Ortiz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

James Ortiz

Open Polymarket ↗

6.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

James Ortiz

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jesse Plemons

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 10.8%

Jesse Plemons

Open Polymarket ↗

2.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.0%

Jesse Plemons

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Mark Ruffalo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Mark Ruffalo

Open Kalshi ↗

Michael Fassbender

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.4%

Michael Fassbender

Open Polymarket ↗

7.3%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 10.4%

Michael Fassbender

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Miles Teller

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 2.9%

Miles Teller

Open Polymarket ↗

4.9%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 7.3%

Miles Teller

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Robert De Niro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.7%

Robert De Niro

Open Polymarket ↗

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Robert De Niro

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Skyler Gisondo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Skyler Gisondo

Open Polymarket ↗

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Skyler Gisondo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tie

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Tie

Open Kalshi ↗

Tom Holland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.1%

Tom Holland

Open Polymarket ↗

3.0%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.4%

Tom Holland

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Travis Scott

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.4%

Travis Scott

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.