The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · Winner

2 venues · 52 outcome rows · 16 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $4.9M reported volume

Observed 36s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 7, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

53 outcomes · $84K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

  • Both settle on the official season winner; Polymarket resolves to the celebrity of the winning pair.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Amber Glenn

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

Amber Glenn

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0%

Amber Glenn

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Ciara Miller

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Ciara Miller · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Ciara Miller

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Conner Leavitt

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Conner Leavitt · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Conner Leavitt

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Connor Wood

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Connor Wood

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.8%

Connor Wood

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.7 pp

Ezra Frech

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 58.0%

Ezra Frech

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

56.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 57.0%

Ezra Frech

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Giada De Laurentiis

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Giada De Laurentiis · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Giada De Laurentiis

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Guillermo Rodriguez

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Guillermo Rodriguez · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid — · Ask 0.5%

Guillermo Rodriguez

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Harry Shum Jr.

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Harry Shum Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 5.9%

Harry Shum Jr.

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Jackson Olson

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Jackson Olson

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 4.2%

Jackson Olson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.2 pp

Jenna Dewan

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Jenna Dewan

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0%

Jenna Dewan

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.5 pp

Julia Stiles

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

Julia Stiles

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

6.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 11.9%

Julia Stiles

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Maura Higgins

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Maura Higgins

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0%

Maura Higgins

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

Sarah Jane Nader

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Sarah Jane Nader · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Sarah Jane Nader

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Tatyana Ali

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Tatyana Ali

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9%

Tatyana Ali

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.1 pp

Taylor Hanson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Taylor Hanson · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Taylor Hanson

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.8 pp

Tyler Cameron

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Tyler Cameron

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Tyler Cameron

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Contestant 15

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 15 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 16

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 16 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 17

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 17 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 18

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 18 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 19

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 19 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 20

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 20 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 21

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 21 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 22

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 22 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 23

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 23 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 24

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 24 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 25

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 25 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 26

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 26 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 27

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 27 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 28

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 28 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 29

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 29 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 30

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 30 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 31

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 31 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 32

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 32 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 33

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 33 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 34

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 34 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 35

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 35 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 36

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 36 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 37

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 37 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 38

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 38 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 39

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 39 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 40

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 40 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 41

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 41 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 42

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 42 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 43

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 43 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 44

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 44 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 45

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 45 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 46

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 46 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 47

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 47 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 48

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 48 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 49

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 49 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Contestant 50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

—

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Contestant 50 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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