Market comparison

Delaware Senate margin of victory

2 venues · 23 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $12K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 8s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Delaware Senate margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.9% Democrat 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 0.7% · Ask 9.1% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.9% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 48.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 29.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.7% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 1.2% · Ask 8.3% Democrat 45%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrats, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.7% Bid 93.0% · Ask 98.3% Democrats, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.4% Bid 91.8% · Ask 98.3% Democrats, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.7% Bid 90.1% · Ask 98.3% Democrats, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	97.1% Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.1% Democrats, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.1% Bid 81.0% · Ask 90.4% Democrats, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 24+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 81.0% Democrats, 24+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 70.0% Democrats, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 28+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 58.0% Democrats, 28+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 30+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0% Democrats, 30+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 40.0% Democrats, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 34+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 32.0% Democrats, 34+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 36+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.2% Bid 9.4% · Ask 21.0% Democrats, 36+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrats, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.4% Bid 1.9% · Ask 13.0% Democrats, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.5% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.9%

Democrat 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 9.1%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 6.9%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 48.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 29.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.9%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 10.7%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 8.3%

Democrat 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrats, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.7%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 98.3%

Democrats, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.4%

Bid 91.8% · Ask 98.3%

Democrats, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.7%

Bid 90.1% · Ask 98.3%

Democrats, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

97.1%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 97.1%

Democrats, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.1%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 90.4%

Democrats, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 24+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 81.0%

Democrats, 24+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 63.0% · Ask 70.0%

Democrats, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 28+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 58.0%

Democrats, 28+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 30+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

44.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0%

Democrats, 30+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 40.0%

Democrats, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 34+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 32.0%

Democrats, 34+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 36+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.2%

Bid 9.4% · Ask 21.0%

Democrats, 36+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrats, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.4%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 13.0%

Democrats, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.5%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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