Market comparison

DFB-Pokal: 2026-27 Champion

2 venues · 55 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

21 outcomes · $45K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jun 12, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

47 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 49s ago

Recorded venue end date: May 29, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for DFB-Pokal: 2026-27 Champion
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Bayern Munich Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	51.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 51.0% Bayern Munich Open Kalshi ↗	40.8% Bid 40.1% · Ask 41.6% Bayern Munich Open Polymarket ↗	10.2 pp
Union Berlin Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Union Berlin Open Kalshi ↗	2.9% Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.8% Union Berlin Open Polymarket ↗	1.9 pp
1. FC Heidenheim Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% 1. FC Heidenheim Open Polymarket ↗	—
1. FC Kaiserslautern Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% 1. FC Kaiserslautern Open Polymarket ↗	—
1. FC Köln Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.7% 1. FC Köln Open Polymarket ↗	—
1. FC Magdeburg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% 1. FC Magdeburg Open Polymarket ↗	—
1. FC Nürnberg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.5% 1. FC Nürnberg Open Polymarket ↗	—
Arminia Bielefeld Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.6% Bid — · Ask 1.2% Arminia Bielefeld Open Polymarket ↗	—
Augsburg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Augsburg Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Bayer Leverkusen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 4.6% · Ask 6.4% Bayer Leverkusen Open Polymarket ↗	—
Borussia Dortmund Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.3% Bid 12.4% · Ask 16.2% Borussia Dortmund Open Polymarket ↗	—
Borussia Mönchengladbach Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1% Borussia Mönchengladbach Open Polymarket ↗	—
Bremen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Bremen Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Darmstadt 98 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% Darmstadt 98 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dortmund Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 12.0% Dortmund Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Dynamo Dresden Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% Dynamo Dresden Open Polymarket ↗	—
Eintracht Braunschweig Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4% Eintracht Braunschweig Open Polymarket ↗	—
Eintracht Frankfurt Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.7% Eintracht Frankfurt Open Polymarket ↗	—
Elversberg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Elversberg Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Energie Cottbus Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.2% Bid — · Ask 0.4% Energie Cottbus Open Polymarket ↗	—
FC Augsburg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.7% FC Augsburg Open Polymarket ↗	—
FC Cologne Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% FC Cologne Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
FC St. Pauli Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4% FC St. Pauli Open Polymarket ↗	—
Frankfurt Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Frankfurt Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Freiburg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0% Freiburg Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Greuther Fürth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.1% Bid 0.2% · Ask 19.9% Greuther Fürth Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hamburg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Hamburg Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hamburger SV Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Hamburger SV Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hannover 96 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% Hannover 96 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Heidenheim Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Heidenheim Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Hertha BSC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.0% Hertha BSC Open Polymarket ↗	—
Hoffenheim Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Hoffenheim Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Holstein Kiel Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.6% Holstein Kiel Open Polymarket ↗	—
Karlsruher SC Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid — · Ask 11.1% Karlsruher SC Open Polymarket ↗	—
Leipzig Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Leipzig Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Leverkusen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0% Leverkusen Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
M´gladbach Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% M´gladbach Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mainz Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Mainz Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Mainz 05 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1% Mainz 05 Open Polymarket ↗	—
Paderborn Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Paderborn Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
RB Leipzig Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.3% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.5% RB Leipzig Open Polymarket ↗	—
SC Freiburg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.4% Bid — · Ask 2.7% SC Freiburg Open Polymarket ↗	—
SC Paderborn Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid — · Ask 0.8% SC Paderborn Open Polymarket ↗	—
Schalke Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Schalke Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Schalke 04 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.8% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.4% Schalke 04 Open Polymarket ↗	—
St. Pauli Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% St. Pauli Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Stuttgart Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Stuttgart Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
SV Elversberg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% SV Elversberg Open Polymarket ↗	—
TSG Hoffenheim Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.6% TSG Hoffenheim Open Polymarket ↗	—
VfB Stuttgart Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.7% VfB Stuttgart Open Polymarket ↗	—
VfL Bochum Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.3% Bid — · Ask 0.5% VfL Bochum Open Polymarket ↗	—
VfL Osnabrück Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% VfL Osnabrück Open Polymarket ↗	—
VfL Wolfsburg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.8% VfL Wolfsburg Open Polymarket ↗	—
Werder Bremen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.6% Werder Bremen Open Polymarket ↗	—
Wolfsburg Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Wolfsburg Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Bayern Munich

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 51.0%

Bayern Munich

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

40.8%

Bid 40.1% · Ask 41.6%

Bayern Munich

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 10.2 pp

Union Berlin

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Union Berlin

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 5.8%

Union Berlin

Open Polymarket ↗

Price difference 1.9 pp

1. FC Heidenheim

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid — · Ask 0.5%

1. FC Heidenheim

Open Polymarket ↗

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid — · Ask 0.5%

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Open Polymarket ↗

1. FC Köln

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.7%

1. FC Köln

Open Polymarket ↗

1. FC Magdeburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid — · Ask 0.5%

1. FC Magdeburg

Open Polymarket ↗

1. FC Nürnberg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.5%

1. FC Nürnberg

Open Polymarket ↗

Arminia Bielefeld

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid — · Ask 1.2%

Arminia Bielefeld

Open Polymarket ↗

Augsburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Augsburg

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Bayer Leverkusen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 6.4%

Bayer Leverkusen

Open Polymarket ↗

Borussia Dortmund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.3%

Bid 12.4% · Ask 16.2%

Borussia Dortmund

Open Polymarket ↗

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1%

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Open Polymarket ↗

Bremen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Bremen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Darmstadt 98

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid — · Ask 0.5%

Darmstadt 98

Open Polymarket ↗

Dortmund

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 12.0%

Dortmund

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Dynamo Dresden

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid — · Ask 0.5%

Dynamo Dresden

Open Polymarket ↗

Eintracht Braunschweig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4%

Eintracht Braunschweig

Open Polymarket ↗

Eintracht Frankfurt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 4.7%

Eintracht Frankfurt

Open Polymarket ↗

Elversberg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Elversberg

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Energie Cottbus

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid — · Ask 0.4%

Energie Cottbus

Open Polymarket ↗

FC Augsburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.7%

FC Augsburg

Open Polymarket ↗

FC Cologne

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

FC Cologne

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

FC St. Pauli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.4%

FC St. Pauli

Open Polymarket ↗

Frankfurt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Frankfurt

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Freiburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0%

Freiburg

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Greuther Fürth

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.1%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 19.9%

Greuther Fürth

Open Polymarket ↗

Hamburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Hamburg

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hamburger SV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Hamburger SV

Open Polymarket ↗

Hannover 96

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid — · Ask 0.5%

Hannover 96

Open Polymarket ↗

Heidenheim

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Heidenheim

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Hertha BSC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.0%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 4.0%

Hertha BSC

Open Polymarket ↗

Hoffenheim

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Hoffenheim

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Holstein Kiel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid — · Ask 0.6%

Holstein Kiel

Open Polymarket ↗

Karlsruher SC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid — · Ask 11.1%

Karlsruher SC

Open Polymarket ↗

Leipzig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0%

Leipzig

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Leverkusen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 9.0%

Leverkusen

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

M´gladbach

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

M´gladbach

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mainz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Mainz

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Mainz 05

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1%

Mainz 05

Open Polymarket ↗

Paderborn

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Paderborn

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

RB Leipzig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.5%

RB Leipzig

Open Polymarket ↗

SC Freiburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid — · Ask 2.7%

SC Freiburg

Open Polymarket ↗

SC Paderborn

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid — · Ask 0.8%

SC Paderborn

Open Polymarket ↗

Schalke

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Schalke

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Schalke 04

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.8%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.4%

Schalke 04

Open Polymarket ↗

St. Pauli

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

St. Pauli

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Stuttgart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

Stuttgart

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

SV Elversberg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid — · Ask 0.5%

SV Elversberg

Open Polymarket ↗

TSG Hoffenheim

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.6%

TSG Hoffenheim

Open Polymarket ↗

VfB Stuttgart

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 5.7%

VfB Stuttgart

Open Polymarket ↗

VfL Bochum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid — · Ask 0.5%

VfL Bochum

Open Polymarket ↗

VfL Osnabrück

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

VfL Osnabrück

Open Polymarket ↗

VfL Wolfsburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.8%

VfL Wolfsburg

Open Polymarket ↗

Werder Bremen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.6%

Werder Bremen

Open Polymarket ↗

Wolfsburg

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Wolfsburg

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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