Market comparison

F1: Action of the Year

2 venues · 34 outcome rows · 21 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

33 outcomes · $191K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

23 outcomes · $26K reported volume

Observed 47s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 14, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for F1: Action of the Year
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Alexander Albon Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.1% Bid 1.4% · Ask 2.8% Alexander Albon Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Alexander Albon Open Kalshi ↗	1.1 pp
Arvid Lindblad Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.3% Bid 1.2% · Ask 1.3% Arvid Lindblad Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 4.0% Arvid Lindblad Open Kalshi ↗	0.8 pp
Carlos Sainz Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.2% Carlos Sainz Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Carlos Sainz Open Kalshi ↗	0.3 pp
Charles Leclerc Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.3% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.1% Charles Leclerc Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 8.0% Charles Leclerc Open Kalshi ↗	1.8 pp
Esteban Ocon Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.8% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.2% Esteban Ocon Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Esteban Ocon Open Kalshi ↗	0.2 pp
Fernando Alonso Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.7% Bid 1.5% · Ask 1.9% Fernando Alonso Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 5.0% Fernando Alonso Open Kalshi ↗	0.3 pp
Franco Colapinto Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.1% Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.2% Franco Colapinto Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Franco Colapinto Open Kalshi ↗	2.1 pp
Gabriel Bortoleto Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.9% Gabriel Bortoleto Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Gabriel Bortoleto Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
George Russell Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.6% Bid 1.2% · Ask 4.0% George Russell Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.0% George Russell Open Kalshi ↗	0.4 pp
Isack Hadjar Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.9% Isack Hadjar Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Isack Hadjar Open Kalshi ↗	0.7 pp
Lance Stroll Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.7% Lance Stroll Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Lance Stroll Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Lando Norris Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.8% Bid 1.7% · Ask 1.9% Lando Norris Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Lando Norris Open Kalshi ↗	1.2 pp
Lewis Hamilton Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	7.6% Bid 6.3% · Ask 9.0% Lewis Hamilton Open Polymarket ↗	11.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0% Lewis Hamilton Open Kalshi ↗	3.4 pp
Liam Lawson Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.1% Bid 1.2% · Ask 3.0% Liam Lawson Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Liam Lawson Open Kalshi ↗	1.1 pp
Max Verstappen Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	51.3% Bid 45.0% · Ask 57.6% Max Verstappen Open Polymarket ↗	48.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 54.0% Max Verstappen Open Kalshi ↗	3.3 pp
Nico Hulkenberg Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	0.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 0.7% Nico Hulkenberg Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Nico Hulkenberg Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
Oliver Bearman Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.5% Oliver Bearman Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Oliver Bearman Open Kalshi ↗	0.4 pp
Oscar Piastri Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	2.8% Bid 0.5% · Ask 5.0% Oscar Piastri Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% Oscar Piastri Open Kalshi ↗	0.2 pp
Pierre Gasly Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.7% Bid 1.3% · Ask 2.1% Pierre Gasly Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Pierre Gasly Open Kalshi ↗	0.7 pp
Sergio Perez Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.2% Sergio Perez Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Sergio Perez Open Kalshi ↗	0.1 pp
Valtteri Bottas Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	1.2% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.1% Valtteri Bottas Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Valtteri Bottas Open Kalshi ↗	0.2 pp
Andrea Kimi Antonelli Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 28.0% Andrea Kimi Antonelli Open Kalshi ↗	—
Kimi Antonelli Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 24.0% · Ask 27.0% Kimi Antonelli Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
placeholder A Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% placeholder A · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
placeholder B Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% placeholder B · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
placeholder C Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% placeholder C · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
placeholder D Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% placeholder D · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
placeholder E Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% placeholder E · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
placeholder F Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% placeholder F · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
placeholder G Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% placeholder G · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
placeholder H Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% placeholder H · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
placeholder I Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% placeholder I · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
placeholder J Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	— Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% placeholder J · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tie/Co-Winners Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Tie/Co-Winners Open Kalshi ↗	—

Alexander Albon

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 2.8%

Alexander Albon

F1: Action of the Year

Polymarket

Kalshi

Alexander Albon

Polymarket

Kalshi

Arvid Lindblad

Polymarket

Kalshi

Carlos Sainz

Polymarket

Kalshi

Charles Leclerc

Polymarket

Kalshi

Esteban Ocon

Polymarket

Kalshi

Fernando Alonso

Polymarket

Kalshi

Franco Colapinto

Polymarket

Kalshi

Gabriel Bortoleto

Polymarket

Kalshi

George Russell

Polymarket

Kalshi

Isack Hadjar

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lance Stroll

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lando Norris

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lewis Hamilton

Polymarket

Kalshi

Liam Lawson

Polymarket

Kalshi

Max Verstappen

Polymarket

Kalshi

Nico Hulkenberg

Polymarket

Kalshi

Oliver Bearman

Polymarket

Kalshi

Oscar Piastri

Polymarket

Kalshi

Pierre Gasly

Polymarket

Kalshi

Sergio Perez

Polymarket

Kalshi

Valtteri Bottas

Polymarket

Kalshi

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Polymarket

Kalshi

Kimi Antonelli

Polymarket

Kalshi

placeholder A

Polymarket

Kalshi

placeholder B

Polymarket

Kalshi

placeholder C

Polymarket