Market comparison

Florida Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 28 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

18 outcomes · $130K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $25K reported volume

Observed 59s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Florida Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Donalds 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Donalds 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donalds 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	25.5% Bid 24.0% · Ask 27.0% Donalds 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donalds 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0% Donalds 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donalds 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Donalds 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donalds 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.5% Bid 10.3% · Ask 12.6% Donalds 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donalds 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.4% Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.8% Donalds 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donalds 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 1.5% · Ask 14.4% Donalds 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donalds, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	80.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 81.0% Donalds, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	69.0% Bid 63.0% · Ask 75.0% Donalds, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	73.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 74.0% Donalds, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	56.0% Bid 50.0% · Ask 62.0% Donalds, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 56.0% Donalds, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	49.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 49.0% Donalds, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 41.0% Donalds, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0% Donalds, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 30.0% Donalds, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0% Donalds, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.6% Bid 5.4% · Ask 9.7% Donalds, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.9% Donalds, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jolly 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.2% Bid 9.1% · Ask 11.2% Jolly 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jolly 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.7% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.7% Jolly 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jolly 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.2% Jolly 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jolly, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 9.9% · Ask 21.0% Jolly, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jolly, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 5.9% · Ask 17.0% Jolly, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jolly, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 7.3% · Ask 8.8% Jolly, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jolly, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 0.1% · Ask 11.0% Jolly, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jolly, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 0.1% · Ask 9.9% Jolly, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jolly, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.8% Bid 2.7% · Ask 6.8% Jolly, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Donalds 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Donalds 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Donalds 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 27.0%

Donalds 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Donalds 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 21.0%

Donalds 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Donalds 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Donalds 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Donalds 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 10.3% · Ask 12.6%

Donalds 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Donalds 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 5.8%

Donalds 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Donalds 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 14.4%

Donalds 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Donalds, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 81.0%

Donalds, 1+ pts

Florida Governor margin of victory

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds 0-3%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds 3-6%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds 6-9%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds 9-12%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds 12-15%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds 15-18%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds 18%+

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds, 1+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds, 2+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds, 3+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds, 4+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds, 5+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds, 6+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds, 7+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds, 8+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds, 9+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds, 12+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds, 15+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Donalds, 18+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jolly 0-3%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jolly 3-6%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jolly 6%+

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jolly, 1+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jolly, 2+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jolly, 3+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Jolly, 4+ pts

Kalshi