Market comparison

Florida Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $127K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 31s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Florida Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Donalds 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% Donalds 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donalds 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 26.0% Donalds 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donalds 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0% Donalds 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donalds 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% Donalds 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donalds 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.6% Bid 10.3% · Ask 12.9% Donalds 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donalds 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.8% Bid 1.3% · Ask 6.2% Donalds 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donalds 18%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.8% Bid 3.9% · Ask 7.6% Donalds 18%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Donalds, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	80.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 81.0% Donalds, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	74.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 75.0% Donalds, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	48.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 49.0% Donalds, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0% Donalds, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0% Donalds, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.8% Bid 5.4% · Ask 9.8% Donalds, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Donalds, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.9% Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.9% Donalds, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jolly 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.2% Bid 9.0% · Ask 11.3% Jolly 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jolly 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.6% Bid 0.6% · Ask 6.7% Jolly 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jolly 6%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.0% Jolly 6%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jolly, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.0% Bid 7.2% · Ask 17.0% Jolly, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jolly, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 7.3% · Ask 9.6% Jolly, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Jolly, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.8% Bid 2.7% · Ask 6.8% Jolly, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Donalds 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Donalds 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Donalds 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 26.0%

Donalds 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Donalds 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0%

Donalds 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Donalds 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Donalds 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Donalds 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

11.6%

Bid 10.3% · Ask 12.9%

Donalds 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Donalds 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 6.2%

Donalds 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Donalds 18%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.8%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 7.6%

Donalds 18%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Donalds, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 81.0%

Donalds, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Donalds, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

74.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 75.0%

Donalds, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Donalds, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

48.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 49.0%

Donalds, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Donalds, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 30.0%

Donalds, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Donalds, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 18.0%

Donalds, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Donalds, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.8%

Bid 5.4% · Ask 9.8%

Donalds, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Donalds, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.9%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.9%

Donalds, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jolly 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.2%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 11.3%

Jolly 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Jolly 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 6.7%

Jolly 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Jolly 6%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.0%

Jolly 6%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Jolly, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

16.0%

Bid 7.2% · Ask 17.0%

Jolly, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jolly, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

7.8%

Bid 7.3% · Ask 9.6%

Jolly, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Jolly, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.8%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 6.8%

Jolly, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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