Market comparison

Florida Senate margin of victory

2 venues · 26 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $202K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $35K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Florida Senate margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Moody 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.9% Bid 17.1% · Ask 20.8% Moody 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0% Moody 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0% Moody 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Moody 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.8% Bid 2.6% · Ask 6.9% Moody 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.7% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.7% Moody 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.6% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0% Moody 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9% Moody 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	86.8% Bid 82.0% · Ask 91.5% Moody, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	91.4% Bid 89.0% · Ask 91.4% Moody, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	78.5% Bid 74.0% · Ask 83.0% Moody, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 85.0% Moody, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.5% Bid 62.0% · Ask 73.0% Moody, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	72.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 74.0% Moody, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	53.5% Bid 49.0% · Ask 58.0% Moody, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	53.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 54.0% Moody, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.5% Bid 35.0% · Ask 44.0% Moody, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 38.0% Moody, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 36.0% Moody, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 24.0% Moody, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 15.0% Moody, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.2% Bid 6.1% · Ask 9.2% Moody, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 2.2% · Ask 5.0% Moody, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nixon 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.3% Bid 2.3% · Ask 4.3% Nixon 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nixon 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.6% Bid 0.5% · Ask 2.6% Nixon 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nixon, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0% Nixon, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Moody 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.9%

Bid 17.1% · Ask 20.8%

Moody 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Moody 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0%

Moody 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Moody 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0%

Moody 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Moody 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Moody 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Moody 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 6.9%

Moody 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Moody 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.7%

Moody 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Moody 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Moody 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Moody 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.9%

Moody 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Moody, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

86.8%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 91.5%

Moody, 1+ pts

Florida Senate margin of victory

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 0-3%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 3-6%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 6-9%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 9-12%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 12-15%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 15-18%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 18-21%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 21%+

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 1+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 2+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 3+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 4+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 5+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 6+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 7+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 8+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 9+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 10+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 11+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 12+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 14+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 16+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 18+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Nixon 0-3%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Nixon 3%+

Kalshi

Polymarket

Nixon, 2+ pts

Kalshi