Market comparison

Florida Senate: margin of victory

2 venues · 37 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

27 outcomes · $213K reported volume

Observed 21s ago

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $37K reported volume

Observed 21s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Florida Senate: margin of victory
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
Angie Nixon, ≥2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Angie Nixon, ≥2% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Angie Nixon, 0-2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Angie Nixon, 0-2% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ashley Moody, ≥16% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 12.0% Ashley Moody, ≥16% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ashley Moody, 0-2% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% Ashley Moody, 0-2% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ashley Moody, 2-4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% Ashley Moody, 2-4% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ashley Moody, 4-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0% Ashley Moody, 4-6% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ashley Moody, 6-8% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Ashley Moody, 6-8% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ashley Moody, 8-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% Ashley Moody, 8-10% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ashley Moody, 10-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 13.0% Ashley Moody, 10-12% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ashley Moody, 12-14% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.0% Ashley Moody, 12-14% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Ashley Moody, 14-16% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0% Ashley Moody, 14-16% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.8% Bid 13.2% · Ask 14.3% Moody 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0% Moody 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 29.0% Moody 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Moody 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.8% Bid 2.6% · Ask 6.9% Moody 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 1.4% · Ask 6.7% Moody 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.3% Bid 0.2% · Ask 2.3% Moody 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.6% Moody 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Moody, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	91.4% Bid 87.0% · Ask 91.4% Moody, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.5% Bid 88.0% · Ask 90.5% Moody, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	85.5% Bid 83.0% · Ask 88.0% Moody, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	83.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 84.0% Moody, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	79.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 79.0% Moody, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	67.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 67.0% Moody, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	59.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 67.0% Moody, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	52.0% Bid 51.0% · Ask 52.0% Moody, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	45.0% Bid 44.0% · Ask 52.0% Moody, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	39.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 39.0% Moody, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 39.0% Moody, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 32.0% Moody, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 18.0% Moody, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.7% Bid 6.8% · Ask 8.7% Moody, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Moody, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.4% Bid 5.3% · Ask 8.6% Moody, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Nixon 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.1% Bid 2.3% · Ask 7.9% Nixon 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nixon 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.9% Nixon 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Nixon, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.9% Bid 3.2% · Ask 6.9% Nixon, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

Angie Nixon, ≥2%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

Angie Nixon, ≥2%

Florida Senate: margin of victory

Kalshi

Polymarket

Angie Nixon, ≥2%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Angie Nixon, 0-2%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ashley Moody, ≥16%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ashley Moody, 0-2%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ashley Moody, 2-4%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ashley Moody, 4-6%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ashley Moody, 6-8%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ashley Moody, 8-10%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ashley Moody, 10-12%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ashley Moody, 12-14%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Ashley Moody, 14-16%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 0-3%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 3-6%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 6-9%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 9-12%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 12-15%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 15-18%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 18-21%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody 21%+

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 1+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 2+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 3+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 4+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 5+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 6+ pts

Kalshi

Polymarket

Moody, 7+ pts

Kalshi