Market comparison

Florida's 15th District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $5K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Florida's 15th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.6% Bid 4.8% · Ask 8.4% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lee, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.5% Bid 87.0% · Ask 94.1% Lee, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	80.0% Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.8% Lee, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 68.0% · Ask 80.0% Lee, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	57.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 67.0% Lee, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	45.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0% Lee, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	31.0% Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0% Lee, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	24.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0% Lee, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lee, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 4.2% · Ask 16.0% Lee, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
People, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.1% People, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
People, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.5% Bid 3.6% · Ask 7.5% People, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 1.5% · Ask 6.1% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 24.0% · Ask 31.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 31.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	30.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 14.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.9% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.0% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.6%

Bid 4.8% · Ask 8.4%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lee, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.5%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 94.1%

Lee, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 79.0% · Ask 90.8%

Lee, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 80.0%

Lee, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 67.0%

Lee, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 51.0%

Lee, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

31.0%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 37.0%

Lee, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

24.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 25.0%

Lee, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Lee, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 16.0%

Lee, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

People, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.1%

People, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

People, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.5%

Bid 3.6% · Ask 7.5%

People, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.8%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 6.1%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 31.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 31.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

30.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 32.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 14.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.9%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 2.0%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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