Market comparison

Florida's 24th District margin of victory

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 54s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 54s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Florida's 24th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.5% Democrat 0-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.9% · Ask 4.0% Democrat 15-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.9% Bid 1.6% · Ask 16.2% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45-50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	29.3% Bid 20.5% · Ask 38.0% Democrat 45-50% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 50-55% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0% Democrat 50-55% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 55%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0% Democrat 55%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Gilbert, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 92.5% · Ask 99.4% Gilbert, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gilbert, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.0% Bid 90.6% · Ask 99.3% Gilbert, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gilbert, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.0% Bid 90.0% · Ask 99.2% Gilbert, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gilbert, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 93.2% Gilbert, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gilbert, 41+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 84.0% Gilbert, 41+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gilbert, 44+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.0% Bid 62.0% · Ask 73.0% Gilbert, 44+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gilbert, 47+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	52.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0% Gilbert, 47+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gilbert, 50+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 43.0% Gilbert, 50+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gilbert, 53+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0% Gilbert, 53+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Gilbert, 56+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.1% Bid 5.2% · Ask 17.0% Gilbert, 56+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.5% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 2.5%

Democrat 0-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 4.0%

Democrat 15-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 3.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.9%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 16.2%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 18.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45-50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

29.3%

Bid 20.5% · Ask 38.0%

Democrat 45-50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 50-55%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 23.0%

Democrat 50-55%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 55%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 20.0%

Democrat 55%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Gilbert, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 92.5% · Ask 99.4%

Gilbert, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gilbert, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.0%

Bid 90.6% · Ask 99.3%

Gilbert, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gilbert, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 99.2%

Gilbert, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gilbert, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 93.2%

Gilbert, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gilbert, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 84.0%

Gilbert, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gilbert, 44+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 73.0%

Gilbert, 44+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gilbert, 47+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

52.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 60.0%

Gilbert, 47+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gilbert, 50+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 43.0%

Gilbert, 50+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gilbert, 53+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0%

Gilbert, 53+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Gilbert, 56+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.1%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 17.0%

Gilbert, 56+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 2.5%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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