Market comparison

Florida's 28th District margin of victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Florida's 28th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 1.8% · Ask 8.1% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Giménez, 2+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 88.0% · Ask 94.5% Giménez, 2+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Giménez, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.0% Giménez, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Giménez, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0% Giménez, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Giménez, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	60.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 66.0% Giménez, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Giménez, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 50.0% Giménez, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Giménez, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	38.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 44.0% Giménez, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Giménez, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 32.0% Giménez, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Giménez, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.3% Bid 9.5% · Ask 21.0% Giménez, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Giménez, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	12.0% Bid 2.2% · Ask 14.0% Giménez, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.7% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 25.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	31.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 34.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.1% Bid 6.8% · Ask 9.3% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.6% Republican 30%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 1.8% · Ask 8.1%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Giménez, 2+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 94.5%

Giménez, 2+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Giménez, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 93.0%

Giménez, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Giménez, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 83.0%

Giménez, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Giménez, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

60.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 66.0%

Giménez, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Giménez, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 50.0%

Giménez, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Giménez, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

38.0%

Bid 32.0% · Ask 44.0%

Giménez, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Giménez, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

20.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 32.0%

Giménez, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Giménez, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.3%

Bid 9.5% · Ask 21.0%

Giménez, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Giménez, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

12.0%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 14.0%

Giménez, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.7%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 34.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.1%

Bid 6.8% · Ask 9.3%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 7.6%

Republican 30%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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