Market comparison

Florida's 2nd District margin of victory

2 venues · 17 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $26K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $16K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Florida's 2nd District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.1% Bid 11.7% · Ask 16.6% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.8% Bid 4.1% · Ask 9.5% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.7% Democrat 5%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.7% Bid 25.3% · Ask 30.1% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.5% Bid 0.8% · Ask 2.1% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.9% Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.3% Republican 25%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Rogers, 1+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 86.0% Rogers, 1+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 4+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	72.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 80.0% Rogers, 4+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 69.0% Rogers, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 10+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	54.0% Bid 45.0% · Ask 56.0% Rogers, 10+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	41.0% Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0% Rogers, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 16+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0% Rogers, 16+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 7.2% · Ask 18.0% Rogers, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 22+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	11.0% Bid 0.5% · Ask 11.0% Rogers, 22+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Rogers, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.7% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.7% Rogers, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.1%

Bid 11.7% · Ask 16.6%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 4.1% · Ask 9.5%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 0.7%

Democrat 5%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.7%

Bid 25.3% · Ask 30.1%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 34.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 13.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 2.1%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 1.3%

Republican 25%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rogers, 1+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 86.0%

Rogers, 1+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 4+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

72.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 80.0%

Rogers, 4+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 7+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 69.0%

Rogers, 7+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 10+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

54.0%

Bid 45.0% · Ask 56.0%

Rogers, 10+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 13+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

41.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 41.0%

Rogers, 13+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 16+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 28.0%

Rogers, 16+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 19+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 7.2% · Ask 18.0%

Rogers, 19+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 22+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 11.0%

Rogers, 22+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Rogers, 25+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.7%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.7%

Rogers, 25+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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