Market comparison

Florida's 4th District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $14K reported volume

Observed 36s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 8m ago

Observed 36s ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Florida's 4th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Bean, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 58.0% · Ask 69.0% Bean, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bean, 6+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0% Bean, 6+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bean, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.5% Bid 25.0% · Ask 36.0% Bean, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bean, 12+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	23.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 23.0% Bean, 12+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bean, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 2.7% · Ask 13.0% Bean, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bean, 18+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.3% Bean, 18+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Bean, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.1% Bean, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Democrat 3%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.3% Democrat 3%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Holloway, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 5.1% · Ask 15.0% Holloway, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.7% Bid 8.4% · Ask 13.0% Democrat 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-3% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.0% Republican 0-3% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 3-6% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 26.0% Republican 3-6% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 6-9% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.4% Bid 23.9% · Ask 25.0% Republican 6-9% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 9-12% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	24.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 26.0% Republican 9-12% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 12-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 18.0% Republican 12-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-18% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.6% Bid 4.7% · Ask 10.5% Republican 15-18% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 18-21% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.2% Republican 18-21% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 21%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.8% Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.4% Republican 21%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Bean, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 69.0%

Bean, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bean, 6+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0%

Bean, 6+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bean, 9+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.5%

Bid 25.0% · Ask 36.0%

Bean, 9+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bean, 12+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 23.0%

Bean, 12+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bean, 15+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 13.0%

Bean, 15+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bean, 18+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.3%

Bean, 18+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Bean, 21+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.1%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.1%

Bean, 21+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Democrat 3%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 5.3%

Democrat 3%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Holloway, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 5.1% · Ask 15.0%

Holloway, 3+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.7%

Bid 8.4% · Ask 13.0%

Democrat 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-3%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 8.0%

Republican 0-3%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 3-6%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

22.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 26.0%

Republican 3-6%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 6-9%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.4%

Bid 23.9% · Ask 25.0%

Republican 6-9%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 9-12%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

24.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 26.0%

Republican 9-12%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 12-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 12-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-18%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.6%

Bid 4.7% · Ask 10.5%

Republican 15-18%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 18-21%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 6.2%

Republican 18-21%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 21%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.4%

Republican 21%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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