Market comparison
French Presidential Election First Round Winner
2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 13 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗15 outcomes · $78K reported volume
Observed 2m ago
Observed 3m ago
Recorded venue end date: Apr 18, 2028
Polymarket
Open venue ↗43 outcomes · $64K reported volume
Observed 20s ago
Recorded venue end date: Apr 18, 2027
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
Bruno Retailleau Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.5 pp | ||
David Lisnard Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.2 pp | ||
Dominique de Villepin Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
douard Philippe Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.3 pp | ||
François Hollande Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
François Ruffin Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.5 pp | ||
Gabriel Attal Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
Jean-Luc Mélenchon Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 1.9 pp | ||
Jordan Bardella Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.1 pp | ||
Marine Le Pen Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.5 pp | ||
Marine Tondelier Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
Raphaël Glucksmann Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.5 pp | ||
ric Zemmour Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 0.9 pp | ||
Christine Lagarde Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
First-round winner Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sarah Knafo Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Sébastien Lecornu Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Xavier Bertrand Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
Bruno Retailleau
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
David Lisnard
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.2 pp
Dominique de Villepin
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
douard Philippe
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 3.3 pp
François Hollande
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
François Ruffin
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
Gabriel Attal
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 1.9 pp
Jordan Bardella
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.1 pp
Marine Le Pen
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 4.5 pp
Marine Tondelier
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Raphaël Glucksmann
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.5 pp
ric Zemmour
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Kalshi
Polymarket
Price difference 0.9 pp
Christine Lagarde
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
First-round winner
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Sarah Knafo
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Sébastien Lecornu
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Xavier Bertrand
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.