Market comparison

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

1 venue · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

21 outcomes · $116K reported volume

Observed 35s ago

Recorded venue end date: Apr 18, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Outcome	Polymarket	Difference
Bernard Cazeneuve Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0% Bernard Cazeneuve Open Polymarket ↗	—
Carole Delga Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.6% Carole Delga Open Polymarket ↗	—
Dominique de Villepin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	68.0% Bid 47.0% · Ask 89.0% Dominique de Villepin Open Polymarket ↗	—
François Bayrou Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 2.7% · Ask 3.9% François Bayrou Open Polymarket ↗	—
François Hollande Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	25.5% Bid 23.0% · Ask 28.0% François Hollande Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gabriel Attal Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Gabriel Attal · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Gérald Darmanin Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 5.2% · Ask 5.8% Gérald Darmanin Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jean Castex Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 2.3% · Ask 2.8% Jean Castex Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jean-Luc Mélenchon Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Jean-Luc Mélenchon · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Jordan Bardella Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.5% Jordan Bardella Open Polymarket ↗	—
lisabeth Borne Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 5.8% · Ask 7.1% Élisabeth Borne Open Polymarket ↗	—
Manuel Bompard Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% Manuel Bompard Open Polymarket ↗	—
Marine Le Pen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Marine Le Pen · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Mathilde Panot Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.5% Bid 2.3% · Ask 2.8% Mathilde Panot Open Polymarket ↗	—
Michel Barnier Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Michel Barnier Open Polymarket ↗	—
Olivier Faure Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0% Olivier Faure · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Raphaël Glucksmann Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Raphaël Glucksmann · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
ric Zemmour Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Éric Zemmour · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—
Sébastien Lecornu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 2.8% · Ask 3.9% Sébastien Lecornu Open Polymarket ↗	—
Valérie Pécresse Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 2.8% · Ask 4.3% Valérie Pécresse Open Polymarket ↗	—
Yaël Braun-Pivet Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.3% Bid 7.7% · Ask 8.9% Yaël Braun-Pivet Open Polymarket ↗	—

Bernard Cazeneuve

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Bernard Cazeneuve

Open Polymarket ↗

Carole Delga

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.6%

Carole Delga

Open Polymarket ↗

Dominique de Villepin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

68.0%

Bid 47.0% · Ask 89.0%

Dominique de Villepin

Open Polymarket ↗

François Bayrou

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.3%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 3.9%

François Bayrou

Open Polymarket ↗

François Hollande

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 28.0%

François Hollande

Open Polymarket ↗

Gabriel Attal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Gabriel Attal · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Gérald Darmanin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 5.8%

Gérald Darmanin

Open Polymarket ↗

Jean Castex

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 2.8%

Jean Castex

Open Polymarket ↗

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Jordan Bardella

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 3.5%

Jordan Bardella

Open Polymarket ↗

lisabeth Borne

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 5.8% · Ask 7.1%

Élisabeth Borne

Open Polymarket ↗

Manuel Bompard

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

Manuel Bompard

Open Polymarket ↗

Marine Le Pen

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Marine Le Pen · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Mathilde Panot

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 2.8%

Mathilde Panot

Open Polymarket ↗

Michel Barnier

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

Michel Barnier

Open Polymarket ↗

Olivier Faure

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.1% · Ask 100.0%

Olivier Faure · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Raphaël Glucksmann

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Raphaël Glucksmann · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

ric Zemmour

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Éric Zemmour · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Sébastien Lecornu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 3.9%

Sébastien Lecornu

Open Polymarket ↗

Valérie Pécresse

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.5%

Bid 2.8% · Ask 4.3%

Valérie Pécresse

Open Polymarket ↗

Yaël Braun-Pivet

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.3%

Bid 7.7% · Ask 8.9%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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