The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Actor in a Limited Series

2 venues · 28 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

19 outcomes · $147K reported volume

Observed 35s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 21, 2027

10 outcomes · $15K reported volume

Observed 35s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 8, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Javier Bardem

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 8.2%

Javier Bardem

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

Javier Bardem

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 75.6 pp

Adam Driver

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 6.4%

Adam Driver

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Andrew Scott

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

85.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 86.0%

Andrew Scott

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Anthony Ippolito

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

34.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 38.0%

Anthony Ippolito

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Brad Pitt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 5.6%

Brad Pitt

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Christopher Abbott

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 86.0% · Ask 97.0%

Christopher Abbott

Open Kalshi ↗

Jaafar Jackson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 17.0%

Jaafar Jackson

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jamie Bell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 39.0%

Jamie Bell

Open Kalshi ↗

Jason Bateman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 23.0%

Jason Bateman

Open Kalshi ↗

Jeremy Strong

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.6%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.0%

Jeremy Strong

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

John Malkovich

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

88.0%

Bid 87.0% · Ask 89.0%

John Malkovich

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

John Turturro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

47.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 56.0%

John Turturro

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jon Bernthal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Jon Bernthal

Open Kalshi ↗

Josh O'Connor

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 6.9%

Josh O'Connor

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Martin Freeman

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Martin Freeman

Open Kalshi ↗

Matt Damon

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

94.1%

Bid 92.6% · Ask 95.6%

Matt Damon

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Michael Cooper Jr.

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Michael Cooper Jr.

Open Kalshi ↗

Oscar Isaac

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 98.0%

Oscar Isaac

Open Kalshi ↗

Patrick Wilson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

29.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 46.0%

Patrick Wilson

Open Kalshi ↗

Pedro Pascal

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.8%

Bid 13.2% · Ask 16.4%

Pedro Pascal

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Robert Aramayo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.1%

Robert Aramayo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Robert Pattinson

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 50.0%

Robert Pattinson

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ryan Gosling

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

43.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 45.0%

Ryan Gosling

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Sam Rockwell

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.7% · Ask 8.4%

Sam Rockwell

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Sebastian Stan

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Sebastian Stan

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Timothée Chalamet

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Timothée Chalamet

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tom Cruise

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

65.5%

Bid 64.0% · Ask 67.0%

Tom Cruise

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Yahya Abdul-Mateen II

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 24.0%

Yahya Abdul-Mateen II

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.