The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Motion Picture - Drama

2 venues · 25 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

22 outcomes · $136K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 21, 2027

13 outcomes · $8K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 8, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

All of a Sudden

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 36.0% · Ask 40.0%

All of a Sudden

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 63.0%

All of a Sudden

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 25.0 pp

Dune: Part Three

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

84.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 85.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Dune: Part Three

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 34.0 pp

Elsinore

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 34.0%

Elsinore

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 67.0%

Elsinore

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 10.5 pp

Fatherland

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 6.6%

Fatherland

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Fatherland

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 45.1 pp

Fjord

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

34.5%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 36.0%

Fjord

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 99.0%

Fjord

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 18.5 pp

I Play Rocky

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 43.0%

I Play Rocky

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

23.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

I Play Rocky

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 17.5 pp

La Bola Negra

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

95.0%

Bid 94.0% · Ask 96.0%

La Bola Negra

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

91.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 92.0%

La Bola Negra

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Michael

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Michael

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Michael

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Obsession

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

33.5%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 34.0%

Obsession

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 25.0%

Obsession

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 22.5 pp

The Odyssey

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

97.1%

Bid 95.1% · Ask 99.1%

The Odyssey

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 98.0%

The Odyssey

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.9 pp

Avengers: Doomsday

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.8%

Bid 7.8% · Ask 9.9%

Avengers: Doomsday

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Behemoth!

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 18.0%

Behemoth!

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Digger

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 19.0%

Digger

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Disclosure Day

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 3.5% · Ask 6.0%

Disclosure Day

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Possible Love

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 86.0%

Possible Love

Open Kalshi ↗

Project Hail Mary

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

77.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 79.0%

Project Hail Mary

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

20.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 21.0%

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Debut

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

79.5%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 81.0%

The Debut

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Drama

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.1%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 5.9%

The Drama

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Invite

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

58.5%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 59.0%

The Invite

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

The Social Reckoning

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 7.0%

The Social Reckoning

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Wild Horse Nine

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

91.5%

Bid 90.0% · Ask 93.0%

Wild Horse Nine

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Wildwood

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Wildwood

Open Kalshi ↗

Woman Unknown

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 99.0%

Woman Unknown

Open Kalshi ↗

You Can See Everything

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

72.0%

Bid 71.0% · Ask 73.0%

You Can See Everything

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.