Market comparison

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Screenplay

2 venues · 31 outcome rows · 8 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

33 outcomes · $54K reported volume

Observed 34s ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

10 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 34s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 8, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Golden Globe Nominations: Best Screenplay
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
All of a Sudden Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	60.0% Bid 59.0% · Ask 61.0% All of a Sudden Open Polymarket ↗	35.0% Bid 24.0% · Ask 40.0% All of a Sudden Open Kalshi ↗	25.0 pp
Elsinore Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	22.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 26.0% Elsinore Open Polymarket ↗	20.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 30.0% Elsinore Open Kalshi ↗	2.5 pp
Fjord Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	47.5% Bid 47.0% · Ask 48.0% Fjord Open Polymarket ↗	23.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% Fjord Open Kalshi ↗	24.5 pp
Project Hail Mary Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	70.5% Bid 59.0% · Ask 82.0% Project Hail Mary Open Polymarket ↗	32.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 32.0% Project Hail Mary Open Kalshi ↗	38.5 pp
The Debut Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	84.5% Bid 83.0% · Ask 86.0% The Debut Open Polymarket ↗	85.0% Bid 73.0% · Ask 93.0% The Debut Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
The Invite Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	3.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.7% The Invite Open Polymarket ↗ 93.4% Bid 90.0% · Ask 96.8% The Invite Open Polymarket ↗	81.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 96.0% The Invite Open Kalshi ↗	—
The Odyssey Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	4.0% Bid 0.3% · Ask 7.6% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗ 88.0% Bid 85.0% · Ask 91.0% The Odyssey Open Polymarket ↗	80.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 80.0% The Odyssey Open Kalshi ↗	—
Wild Horse Nine Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	92.5% Bid 91.0% · Ask 94.0% Wild Horse Nine Open Polymarket ↗	89.0% Bid 80.0% · Ask 98.0% Wild Horse Nine Open Kalshi ↗	3.5 pp
A Place in Hell Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 0.3% · Ask 6.9% A Place in Hell Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Behemoth! Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0% Behemoth! Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Clarissa Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 19.0% Clarissa Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Club Kid Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.0% Bid 48.0% · Ask 62.0% Club Kid Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Cry to Heaven Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.8% Cry to Heaven Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Digger Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	15.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 17.0% Digger Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Dune: Part Three Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	28.5% Bid 27.0% · Ask 30.0% Dune: Part Three Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Fatherland Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 6.8% Fatherland Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Forgotten Island Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 1.8% · Ask 5.0% Forgotten Island Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Ink Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 36.0% Ink Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Josephine Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 11.0% Josephine Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
La Bola Negra Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	75.0% Bid 75.0% · Ask 94.0% La Bola Negra Open Kalshi ↗	—
Obsession Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	55.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 68.0% Obsession Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Possible Love Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0% Possible Love Open Kalshi ↗	—
Saturn Return Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.9% Bid 1.5% · Ask 8.3% Saturn Return Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.5% Bid 12.0% · Ask 17.0% Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Black Ball Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.2% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗ 86.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 90.0% The Black Ball Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Drama Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	20.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0% The Drama Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.7% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗ 30.8% Bid 27.0% · Ask 34.6% The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Social Reckoning Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 6.0% The Social Reckoning Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
The Whisper Man Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.5% · Ask 6.6% The Whisper Man Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Toy Story 5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.1% Bid 3.0% · Ask 3.2% Toy Story 5 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Wildwood Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 8.0% Wildwood Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

All of a Sudden

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

60.0%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 61.0%

All of a Sudden

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Screenplay

Polymarket

Kalshi

All of a Sudden

Polymarket

Kalshi

Elsinore

Polymarket

Kalshi

Fjord

Polymarket

Kalshi

Project Hail Mary

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Debut

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Invite

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Odyssey

Polymarket

Kalshi

Wild Horse Nine

Polymarket

Kalshi

A Place in Hell

Polymarket

Kalshi

Behemoth!

Polymarket

Kalshi

Clarissa

Polymarket

Kalshi

Club Kid

Polymarket

Kalshi

Cry to Heaven

Polymarket

Kalshi

Digger

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dune: Part Three

Polymarket

Kalshi

Fatherland

Polymarket

Kalshi

Forgotten Island

Polymarket

Kalshi

Ink

Polymarket

Kalshi

Josephine

Polymarket

Kalshi

La Bola Negra

Polymarket

Kalshi

Obsession

Polymarket

Kalshi

Possible Love

Polymarket

Kalshi

Saturn Return

Polymarket

Kalshi

Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Black Ball

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Drama

Polymarket