The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

Golden Globe Nominations: Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

2 venues · 27 outcome rows · 10 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

26 outcomes · $40K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Mar 15, 2027

11 outcomes · $3K reported volume

Observed 9s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 8, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Colman Domingo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

25.5%

Bid 24.0% · Ask 27.0%

Colman Domingo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 43.0%

Colman Domingo

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.5 pp

Edward Norton

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

55.0%

Bid 48.0% · Ask 62.0%

Edward Norton

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

Edward Norton

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 35.0 pp

Guitarricadelafuente

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

68.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 70.0%

Guitarricadelafuente

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 68.0% · Ask 82.0%

Guitarricadelafuente

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

Guy Pearce

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 7.9%

Guy Pearce

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 35.0%

Guy Pearce

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 20.4 pp

Jeremy Strong

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 7.6%

Jeremy Strong

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Jeremy Strong

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 19.7 pp

John Goodman

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

16.0%

Bid 15.4% · Ask 16.6%

John Goodman

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 50.0%

John Goodman

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 24.0 pp

John Leguizamo

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

74.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 76.0%

John Leguizamo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 90.0%

John Leguizamo

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 6.0 pp

Paul Giamatti

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

93.0%

Bid 91.0% · Ask 95.0%

Paul Giamatti

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 78.0% · Ask 95.0%

Paul Giamatti

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

Robert Pattinson

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 28.0%

Robert Pattinson

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 30.0%

Robert Pattinson

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.0 pp

Sam Rockwell

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

73.5%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 75.0%

Sam Rockwell

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 95.0%

Sam Rockwell

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 11.5 pp

Adam Scott

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 3.4%

Adam Scott

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Andrew Garfield

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

70.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 79.0%

Andrew Garfield

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Antonio Banderas

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.4%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.7%

Antonio Banderas

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Channing Tatum

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.8%

Bid 5.2% · Ask 8.3%

Channing Tatum

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Charles Melton

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 4.5%

Charles Melton

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Daniel Craig

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.4%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.7%

Daniel Craig

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Himesh Patel

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 2.1% · Ask 7.3%

Himesh Patel

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

James Ortiz

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 8.0%

James Ortiz

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jesse Plemons

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 5.0%

Jesse Plemons

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Michael Fassbender

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.4%

Bid 4.4% · Ask 10.5%

Michael Fassbender

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Miles Teller

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.9%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 7.2%

Miles Teller

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Riz Ahmed

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

Riz Ahmed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Robert De Niro

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Robert De Niro

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Skyler Gisondo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

Skyler Gisondo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Skyler Gisondo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 25.0%

Skylar Gisondo

Open Kalshi ↗

Steve Buscemi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

Steve Buscemi

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tom Holland

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 5.4%

Tom Holland

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.