Market comparison

Grammy winner: Album of the Year

2 venues · 44 outcome rows · 11 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

42 outcomes · $97K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Feb 7, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

13 outcomes · $81K reported volume

Observed 8s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Both settle on the official ceremony result or nominations announcement for the same edition.
Kalshi lists a 'Tie' outcome and resolves ties per its rules; Polymarket resolves ties per its own description. Nominee lists differ; only names on both venues are linked.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Grammy winner: Album of the Year
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Arirang Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Arirang - BTS Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Arirang Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Dandelion Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	2.9% Bid 0.8% · Ask 5.1% Dandelion - Ella Langley Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Dandelion Open Kalshi ↗	1.1 pp
ICEMAN Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Iceman - Drake Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% ICEMAN Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally - Harry Styles Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
Lost Weekend Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	5.6% Bid 5.5% · Ask 5.7% Lost Weekend - Phoebe Bridgers Open Polymarket ↗	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% Lost Weekend Open Kalshi ↗	2.6 pp
Lux Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0% Lux - Rosalía Open Polymarket ↗	23.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% Lux Open Kalshi ↗	6.0 pp
The Art of Loving Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	9.3% Bid 7.0% · Ask 11.7% The Art of Loving - Olivia Dean Open Polymarket ↗	12.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% The Art of Loving Open Kalshi ↗	2.6 pp
The Great Divide Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.8% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.7% The Great Divide - Noah Kahan Open Polymarket ↗	7.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% The Great Divide Open Kalshi ↗	5.2 pp
The Life of a Showgirl Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	1.5% Bid 1.1% · Ask 1.8% The Life of a Showgirl - Taylor Swift Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% The Life of a Showgirl Open Kalshi ↗	0.5 pp
The Romantic Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% The Romantic - Bruno Mars Open Polymarket ↗	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% The Romantic Open Kalshi ↗	0.9 pp
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love Partial parity Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.	44.5% Bid 44.0% · Ask 45.0% you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Olivia Rodrigo Open Polymarket ↗	53.0% Bid 49.0% · Ask 53.0% you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love Open Kalshi ↗	8.5 pp
Confessions II - Madonna Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.6% · Ask 5.3% Confessions II - Madonna Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Octane - Don Toliver Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Octane - Don Toliver Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Other - Various Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Other - Various · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
petal - Ariana Grande Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.8% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.2% petal - Ariana Grande Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder n - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder d - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder i - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder p - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder t - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder u - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder s - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder x - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder e - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder f - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder g - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder h - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder l - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder m - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder v - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder j - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder q - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder y - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder z - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder b - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder k - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder w - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder o - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder r - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder a - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Placeholder n - TBD Artist Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Placeholder c - TBD Artist · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Through the Wall Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Through the Wall Open Kalshi ↗	—
Tie Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Tie Open Kalshi ↗	—
West End Girl - Lily Allen Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% West End Girl - Lily Allen Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Arirang

Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences above.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Arirang - BTS

Grammy winner: Album of the Year

Polymarket

Kalshi

Known rule differences between venues

Arirang

Polymarket

Kalshi

Dandelion

Polymarket

Kalshi

ICEMAN

Polymarket

Kalshi

Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lost Weekend

Polymarket

Kalshi

Lux

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Art of Loving

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Great Divide

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Life of a Showgirl

Polymarket

Kalshi

The Romantic

Polymarket

Kalshi

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love

Polymarket

Kalshi

Confessions II - Madonna

Polymarket

Kalshi

Octane - Don Toliver

Polymarket

Kalshi

Other - Various

Polymarket

Kalshi

petal - Ariana Grande

Polymarket

Kalshi

Placeholder n - TBD Artist

Polymarket

Kalshi

Placeholder n - TBD Artist

Polymarket

Kalshi

Placeholder n - TBD Artist

Polymarket

Kalshi

Placeholder n - TBD Artist

Polymarket

Kalshi

Placeholder n - TBD Artist

Polymarket

Kalshi

Placeholder n - TBD Artist

Polymarket

Kalshi

Placeholder n - TBD Artist

Polymarket

Kalshi

Placeholder n - TBD Artist

Polymarket

Kalshi

Placeholder n - TBD Artist

Polymarket

Kalshi

Placeholder n - TBD Artist

Polymarket

Kalshi

Placeholder n - TBD Artist