Market comparison

Hawaii Governor margin of victory

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

11 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Hawaii Governor margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 15.0% Democrat 0-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.6% Bid 0.6% · Ask 6.7% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.4% Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.8% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.7% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 13.0% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	19.5% Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0% Democrat 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 40-45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0% Democrat 40-45% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 45%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.7% Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.2% Democrat 45%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Green, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.4% Bid 93.9% · Ask 99.0% Green, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Green, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.8% Bid 93.8% · Ask 99.0% Green, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Green, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.7% Bid 92.4% · Ask 99.0% Green, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Green, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 89.0% · Ask 99.0% Green, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Green, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.0% Green, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Green, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0% Green, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Green, 32+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 57.0% · Ask 68.0% Green, 32+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Green, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	49.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0% Green, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Green, 38+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0% Green, 38+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Green, 41+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 6.8% · Ask 18.0% Green, 41+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Green, 44+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.9% Green, 44+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.8% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Democrat 0-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 15.0%

Democrat 0-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 6.7%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 0.9% · Ask 5.8%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 7.7%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 19.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 13.0%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

19.5%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 20.0%

Democrat 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 40-45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

14.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 16.0%

Democrat 40-45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 45%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 8.2%

Democrat 45%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Green, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.4%

Bid 93.9% · Ask 99.0%

Green, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Green, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.8%

Bid 93.8% · Ask 99.0%

Green, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Green, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.7%

Bid 92.4% · Ask 99.0%

Green, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Green, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 99.0%

Green, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Green, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 83.0% · Ask 94.0%

Green, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Green, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 72.0% · Ask 84.0%

Green, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Green, 32+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 57.0% · Ask 68.0%

Green, 32+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Green, 35+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

49.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 52.0%

Green, 35+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Green, 38+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0%

Green, 38+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Green, 41+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 6.8% · Ask 18.0%

Green, 41+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Green, 44+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.9%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 9.9%

Green, 44+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.8%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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