Market comparison

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

2 venues · 66 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

69 outcomes · $141K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $22K reported volume

Observed 49s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
4.75% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 83.0% 4.75% or above Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
4.90% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	44.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 59.0% 4.90% Open Polymarket ↗	—
5.00% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	48.0% Bid 18.0% · Ask 78.0% 5.00% Open Polymarket ↗	—
5.1% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 46.0% 5.1% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 74.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.1% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.01% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.01% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.02% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.02% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.2% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.2% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.3% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.3% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.3% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.03% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	93.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.03% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.04% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.04% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.4% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	40.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 40.0% 5.4% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.4% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.5% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	22.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 49.0% 5.5% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 29.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 74.0% 5.5% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 91.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.5% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.05% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	93.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.05% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.06% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.06% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.6% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.6% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.07% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	85.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.07% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.7% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	33.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 33.0% 5.7% or above Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.08% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	89.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.08% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.8% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 22.0% 5.8% or above Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.09% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	74.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.09% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	36.5% Bid 31.0% · Ask 42.0% 5.10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
5.11% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.11% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.12% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	63.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.12% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.13% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.13% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.14% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	94.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.14% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.15% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	43.0% Bid 38.0% · Ask 46.0% 5.15% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 55.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.15% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.16% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	61.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.16% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.17% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.17% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.18% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.18% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.19% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.19% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0% 5.20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
5.21% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	97.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.21% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.22% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	89.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.22% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.23% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	93.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.23% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.24% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.24% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.25% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 41.0% 5.25% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.25% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 12.0% 5.30% Open Polymarket ↗	—
5.31% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.31% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.32% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	97.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.32% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.33% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.33% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.34% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.34% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.35% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	45.0% Bid 27.0% · Ask 45.0% 5.35% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 93.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.35% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.36% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	86.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.36% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.37% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.37% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.38% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.38% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.39% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	69.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.39% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.1% Bid 1.9% · Ask 2.2% 5.40% Open Polymarket ↗	—
5.41% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	58.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.41% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.42% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	70.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.42% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.43% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	66.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.43% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.44% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	51.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.44% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.45% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 35.0% 5.45% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 95.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.45% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.46% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	83.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.46% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.47% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	53.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.47% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.48% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.48% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.49% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	93.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.49% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.3% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.7% 5.50% Open Polymarket ↗	—
5.51% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	95.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.51% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.52% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	93.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.52% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.53% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.53% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.54% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.54% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.65% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.7% Bid 2.7% · Ask 4.7% 5.65% Open Polymarket ↗	—
5.65% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	84.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.65% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5.75% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0% 5.75% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 27.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0% 5.75% or above Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
5% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	64.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 66.0% 5% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
6% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% 6% or above Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

4.75% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 83.0%

4.75% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

4.90%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

44.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 59.0%

4.90%

Open Polymarket ↗

5.00%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

48.0%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 78.0%

5.00%

Open Polymarket ↗

5.1% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 46.0%

5.1% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

74.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.1% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.01% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.01% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.02% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.02% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.2% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.2% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.3% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.3% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.3% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.03% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.03% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.04% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.04% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.4% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 40.0%

5.4% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.4% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.5% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 49.0%

5.5% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

29.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 74.0%

5.5% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

91.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.5% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.05% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.05% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.06% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.06% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.6% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.6% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.07% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.07% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.7% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 33.0%

5.7% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.08% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.08% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.8% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 22.0%

5.8% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.09% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

74.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.09% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

36.5%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 42.0%

5.10%

Open Polymarket ↗

5.11% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.11% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.12% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.12% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.13% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.13% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.14% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.14% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.15% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 38.0% · Ask 46.0%

5.15% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

55.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.15% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.16% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.16% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.17% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.17% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.18% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.18% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.19% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.19% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 21.0%

5.20%

Open Polymarket ↗

5.21% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.21% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.22% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.22% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.23% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.23% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.24% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.24% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.25% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 41.0%

5.25% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

96.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.25% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 12.0%

5.30%

Open Polymarket ↗

5.31% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.31% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.32% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.32% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.33% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.33% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.34% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.34% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.35% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

45.0%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 45.0%

5.35% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

93.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.35% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.36% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.36% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.37% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.37% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.38% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.38% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.39% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.39% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.9% · Ask 2.2%

5.40%

Open Polymarket ↗

5.41% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.41% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.42% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.42% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.43% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.43% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.44% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.44% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.45% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 35.0%

5.45% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

95.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.45% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.46% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.46% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.47% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.47% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.48% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.48% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.49% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.49% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.7%

5.50%

Open Polymarket ↗

5.51% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

95.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.51% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.52% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.52% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.53% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.53% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.54% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.54% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.65%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

3.7%

Bid 2.7% · Ask 4.7%

5.65%

Open Polymarket ↗

5.65% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.65% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5.75% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0%

5.75% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

27.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0%

5.75% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

5% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 66.0%

5% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

6% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

6% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets