Market comparison

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

2 venues · 67 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $140K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

69 outcomes · $141K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
4.70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% 4.70% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.75% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% 4.75% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.75% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	82.0% Bid 82.0% · Ask 83.0% 4.75% or above Open Kalshi ↗	—
4.80% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% 4.80% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.85% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% 4.85% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.90% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% 4.90% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
4.95% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% 4.95% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.00% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% 5.00% · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.1% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	46.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 46.0% 5.1% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 74.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.1% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.01% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.01% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.02% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.02% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.2% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.2% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.3% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.3% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.3% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.03% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.03% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.04% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.04% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.4% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 40.0% 5.4% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.4% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.5% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 49.0% 5.5% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 29.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 30.0% 5.5% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 91.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.5% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.05% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.05% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.06% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.06% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.6% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.6% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.07% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	85.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.07% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.7% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	34.0% Bid 28.0% · Ask 34.0% 5.7% or above Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.08% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.08% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.8% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 15.0% · Ask 22.0% 5.8% or above Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.09% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	74.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.09% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	42.8% Bid 41.0% · Ask 44.6% 5.10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.11% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.11% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.12% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	63.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.12% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.13% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.13% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.14% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	94.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.14% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.15% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 46.0% 5.15% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 55.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.15% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.16% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	61.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.16% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.17% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.17% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.18% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.18% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.19% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.19% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.21% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	97.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.21% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.22% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	89.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.22% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.23% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.23% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.24% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.24% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.0% Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0% 5.25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
5.25% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	35.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 41.0% 5.25% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 96.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.25% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.31% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.31% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.32% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	97.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.32% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.33% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.33% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.34% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.34% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.35% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	63.0% Bid 26.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.35% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 93.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.35% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.36% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.36% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.37% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.37% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.38% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.38% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.39% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.39% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.41% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	58.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.41% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.42% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.42% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.43% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.43% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.44% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	51.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.44% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.45% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 36.0% 5.45% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 95.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.45% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.46% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.46% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.47% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.47% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.48% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	98.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.48% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.49% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.49% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.51% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.51% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.52% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	93.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.52% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.53% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.53% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.54% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	92.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.54% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.65% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5.65% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
5.75% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0% 5.75% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 27.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0% 5.75% or above Open Kalshi ↗	—
5% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 66.0% 5% or above Open Kalshi ↗ 99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 5% or above · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
6% or above Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% 6% or above Open Kalshi ↗	—

4.70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

4.70% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.75%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

4.75% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.75% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

82.0%

Bid 82.0% · Ask 83.0%

4.75% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

4.80%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

4.80% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.85%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

4.85% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.90%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

4.90% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

4.95%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

4.95% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.00%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

5.00% · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.1% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

46.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 46.0%

5.1% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

74.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.1% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.01% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.01% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.02% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.02% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.2% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.2% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.3% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.3% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.3% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.03% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.03% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.04% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.04% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.4% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 40.0%

5.4% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.4% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.5% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

22.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 49.0%

5.5% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

29.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 30.0%

5.5% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

91.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.5% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.05% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.05% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.06% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.06% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.6% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.6% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.07% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.07% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.7% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

34.0%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 34.0%

5.7% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

5.08% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.08% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.8% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 22.0%

5.8% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

5.09% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

74.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.09% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

42.8%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 44.6%

5.10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.11% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

96.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.11% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.12% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.12% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.13% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.13% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.14% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

94.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.14% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.15% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

43.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 46.0%

5.15% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

55.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.15% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.16% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

61.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.16% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.17% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.17% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.18% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.18% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.19% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.19% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.21% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.21% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.22% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

89.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.22% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.23% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.23% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.24% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.24% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

5.25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

5.25% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

35.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 41.0%

5.25% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

96.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.25% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.31% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.31% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.32% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

97.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.32% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.33% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.33% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.34% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.34% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.35% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

63.0%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.35% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

93.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.35% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.36% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.36% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.37% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.37% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.38% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.38% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.39% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.39% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.41% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

58.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.41% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.42% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

70.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.42% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.43% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.43% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.44% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

51.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.44% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.45% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

14.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 36.0%

5.45% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

95.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.45% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.46% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.46% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.47% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

53.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.47% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.48% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.48% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.49% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.49% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.51% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.51% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.52% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

93.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.52% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.53% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.53% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.54% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.54% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.65% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5.65% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

5.75% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 12.0%

5.75% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

27.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 27.0%

5.75% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

5% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

64.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 66.0%

5% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

5% or above · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

6% or above

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

6% or above

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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