Market comparison

How high will ETH get in November?

2 venues · 31 outcome rows · 5 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

21 outcomes · $397K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 1, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $65K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for How high will ETH get in November?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
↑ 2,500 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	42.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 43.0% ↑ 2,500 Open Polymarket ↗	42.0% Bid 40.0% · Ask 42.0% Above $2,500.00 Open Kalshi ↗	0.0 pp
↑ 3,000 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	5.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0% ↑ 3,000 Open Polymarket ↗	8.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Above $3,000.00 Open Kalshi ↗	2.5 pp
↑ 3,500 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	1.0% Bid 0.8% · Ask 1.2% ↑ 3,500 Open Polymarket ↗	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above $3,500.00 Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
↓ 1,500 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	4.3% Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.5% ↓ 1,500 Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Below $1,500.00 Open Kalshi ↗	0.3 pp
↓ 2,000 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	40.5% Bid 40.0% · Ask 41.0% ↓ 2,000 Open Polymarket ↗	42.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 42.0% Below $2,000.00 Open Kalshi ↗	1.5 pp
1,300 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.8% Bid 1.7% · Ask 1.8% ↓ 1,300 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1,400 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.7% Bid 1.6% · Ask 1.7% ↓ 1,400 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1,600 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0% ↓ 1,600 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1,700 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	11.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0% ↓ 1,700 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1,800 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% ↓ 1,800 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1,900 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0% ↓ 1,900 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2,100 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	60.5% Bid 60.0% · Ask 61.0% ↓ 2,100 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2,200 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	85.5% Bid 85.0% · Ask 86.0% ↓ 2,200 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2,300 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 2,300 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 85.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 86.0% ↑ 2,300 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2,400 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	61.5% Bid 61.0% · Ask 62.0% ↑ 2,400 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2,600 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	26.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0% ↑ 2,600 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2,700 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0% ↑ 2,700 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2,800 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.5% Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0% ↑ 2,800 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2,900 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% ↑ 2,900 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
3,100 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.8% · Ask 4.1% ↑ 3,100 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above $2,750.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Above $2,750.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $3,250.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% Above $3,250.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $3,750.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Above $3,750.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $4,000.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% Above $4,000.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $4,250.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Above $4,250.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $1,000.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Below $1,000.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $1,250.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Below $1,250.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $1,750.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 14.0% Below $1,750.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $250.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Below $250.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $500.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Below $500.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $750.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0% Below $750.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—

↑ 2,500

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

42.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 43.0%

↑ 2,500

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 42.0%

Above $2,500.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.0 pp

↑ 3,000

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 6.0%

↑ 3,000

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Above $3,000.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 2.5 pp

↑ 3,500

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

1.0%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 1.2%

↑ 3,500

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above $3,500.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

↓ 1,500

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 4.5%

↓ 1,500

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Below $1,500.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

↓ 2,000

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

40.5%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 41.0%

↓ 2,000

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

42.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 42.0%

Below $2,000.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.5 pp

1,300

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.8%

Bid 1.7% · Ask 1.8%

↓ 1,300

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1,400

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 1.7%

↓ 1,400

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1,600

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 8.0%

↓ 1,600

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1,700

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

11.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 12.0%

↓ 1,700

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1,800

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

↓ 1,800

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1,900

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0%

↓ 1,900

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2,100

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

60.5%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 61.0%

↓ 2,100

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2,200

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

85.5%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 86.0%

↓ 2,200

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2,300

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 2,300 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

85.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 86.0%

↑ 2,300

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2,400

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

61.5%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 62.0%

↑ 2,400

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2,600

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

26.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 27.0%

↑ 2,600

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2,700

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 16.0% · Ask 17.0%

↑ 2,700

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2,800

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

↑ 2,800

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2,900

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

↑ 2,900

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

3,100

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.8% · Ask 4.1%

↑ 3,100

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above $2,750.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Above $2,750.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $3,250.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Above $3,250.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $3,750.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above $3,750.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $4,000.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above $4,000.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $4,250.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Above $4,250.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $1,000.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Below $1,000.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $1,250.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Below $1,250.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $1,750.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 14.0%

Below $1,750.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $250.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Below $250.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $500.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Below $500.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $750.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 2.0%

Below $750.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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