The Prediction Markets

How high will ETH get in November?

Closes
Dec 1, 2026, in 27 days
Traded
$421K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
11 h ago
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What the markets expect

2,300 87%

Next is 2,200 at 85.5%. The venues differ most on 3,000 (Polymarket 5.5%, Kalshi 12%), a 6.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 11 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
2,300
87%
Polymarket 87%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,300
Last price
87%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
84¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$23
Trade this on Polymarket
2,200
85.5%
Polymarket 85.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 86¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,200
Last price
85.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
85¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,400
62.5%
Polymarket 62.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 63¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,400
Last price
62.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
63¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$159 (1.59x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,100
61.5%
Polymarket 61.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,100
Last price
61.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
62¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$161 (1.61x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,500
44.5%
Polymarket 44%polled, 11 h agoKalshi 46%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,500
Last price
44%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
43¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2,500.00
Last price
46%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Prices on these venues are 11 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

2,000
42.1%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 11 h agoKalshi 41%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,000
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$28K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $2,000.00
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Prices on these venues are 11 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

1,900
29.5%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,900
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$21K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,600
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,600
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
1,800
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,800
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$33K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above $2,750.00
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $2,750.00
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 21 more outcomes
2,700
18%
Polymarket 18%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,700
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
1,700
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,700
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$53K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above $3,250.00
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3,250.00
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
2,800
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,800
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
3,000
10.4%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 11 h agoKalshi 12%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,000
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3,000.00
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Prices on these venues are 11 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Below $1,750.00
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $1,750.00
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$55
Trade this on Kalshi
1,600
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,600
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
2,900
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
2,900
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
3,100
5.2%
Polymarket 5.2%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,100
Last price
5.2%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
5.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$43K
Trade this on Polymarket
1,500
4.9%
Polymarket 5.3%polled, 11 h agoKalshi 4%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,500
Last price
5.3%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
5.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Below $1,500.00
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Prices on these venues are 11 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Above $4,000.00
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4,000.00
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
1,400
2.7%
Polymarket 2.7%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,400
Last price
2.7%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
1,300
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 2.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,762 (47.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
1,300
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
2.1¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,762 (47.6x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
3,500
1.8%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 11 h agoKalshi 3%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
3,500
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$15K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3,500.00
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Prices on these venues are 11 h old, too old to show an executable spread.

Above $3,750.00
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $3,750.00
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above $4,250.00
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above $4,250.00
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Below $1,000.00
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $1,000.00
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Below $750.00
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $750.00
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Below $1,250.00
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $1,250.00
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Below $250.00
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $250.00
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Below $500.00
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 11 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below $500.00
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 11 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Venue prices are 11 h old, so we are not showing a cross-venue spread. Check each venue for current prices. Find markets with fresh spreads

Different bets: these contracts settle on different rules

Where they differ

  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: binance.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: CF Benchmarks
Show full rule comparison
  • Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
  • Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
  • Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.
  • Trading closes Dec 1, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC on Polymarket and Dec 1, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • 2,300
  • 2,200
  • 2,400

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list 2,300 for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "How high will ETH get in November?". 2,300 leads at 87%. Next is 2,200 at 85.5%. $421K has traded across 31 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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