Market comparison

How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

2 venues · 20 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $159K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 7, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

18 outcomes · $39K reported volume

Observed 34s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 24, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
36.0+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.3% Bid 91.3% · Ask 99.4% 36.0+ Open Polymarket ↗ 96.9% Bid 95.5% · Ask 98.2% 36.0+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
37.0+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.5% Bid 92.6% · Ask 98.4% 37.0+ Open Polymarket ↗ 79.5% Bid 78.0% · Ask 81.0% 37.0+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
37.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.5% <37.5 Open Polymarket ↗	—
37.5–37.9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.4% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.6% 37.5–37.9 Open Polymarket ↗	—
38.0–38.4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	29.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 45.0% 38.0–38.4 Open Polymarket ↗	—
38.0+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.9% Bid 93.0% · Ask 98.8% 38.0+ Open Polymarket ↗ 73.5% Bid 66.0% · Ask 81.0% 38.0+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
38.5–38.9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.5% Bid 51.0% · Ask 82.0% 38.5–38.9 Open Polymarket ↗	—
39.0–39.4 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.9% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.7% 39.0–39.4 Open Polymarket ↗	—
39.0+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% 39.0+ Open Polymarket ↗ 24.0% Bid 23.0% · Ask 25.0% 39.0+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
39.5+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% 39.5+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
40.0+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.4% Bid 0.8% · Ask 1.9% 40.0+ Open Polymarket ↗ 11.6% Bid 10.3% · Ask 12.9% 40.0+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
41.0+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	1.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8% 41.0+ Open Polymarket ↗ 2.2% Bid 2.1% · Ask 2.3% 41.0+ Open Polymarket ↗	—
Above 43% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 5.1% · Ask 6.0% Above 43% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 44% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 4.3% · Ask 6.0% Above 44% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 4.3% · Ask 4.8% Above 45% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 46% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.6% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.7% Above 46% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 47% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 2.1% · Ask 4.0% Above 47% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 48% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.7% Bid 2.1% · Ask 3.9% Above 48% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 49% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.3% Bid 1.4% · Ask 5.6% Above 49% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.8% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.8% Above 50% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

36.0+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

95.3%

Bid 91.3% · Ask 99.4%

36.0+

How high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

Kalshi

Polymarket

36.0+

Kalshi

Polymarket

37.0+

Kalshi

Polymarket

37.5

Kalshi

Polymarket

37.5–37.9

Kalshi

Polymarket

38.0–38.4

Kalshi

Polymarket

38.0+

Kalshi

Polymarket

38.5–38.9

Kalshi

Polymarket

39.0–39.4

Kalshi

Polymarket

39.0+

Kalshi

Polymarket

39.5+

Kalshi

Polymarket

40.0+

Kalshi

Polymarket

41.0+

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 43%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 44%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 45%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 46%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 47%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 48%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 49%

Kalshi

Polymarket

Above 50%

Kalshi

Polymarket