Market comparison

How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

2 venues · 16 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $188K reported volume

Observed 20s ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 23, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

7 outcomes · $9K reported volume

Observed 20s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 4, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
37.8 to 38.0 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% 37.8 to 38.0 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
38.1 to 38.3 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0% 38.1 to 38.3 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
38.4 to 38.6 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	57.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 57.0% 38.4 to 38.6 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
38.7 to 38.9 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	36.0% Bid 33.0% · Ask 37.0% 38.7 to 38.9 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
39.0 to 39.2 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% 39.0 to 39.2 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
39.3 to 39.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0% 39.3 to 39.5 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
44% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.2% Bid 2.5% · Ask 9.8% ↑ 44% Open Polymarket ↗	—
45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.8% Bid 2.6% · Ask 6.9% ↑ 45% Open Polymarket ↗	—
46% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	10.1% Bid 1.3% · Ask 18.8% ↑ 46% Open Polymarket ↗	—
47% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.6% Bid 0.6% · Ask 26.6% ↑ 47% Open Polymarket ↗	—
48% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.3% Bid 2.2% · Ask 10.3% ↑ 48% Open Polymarket ↗	—
49% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.8% Bid 2.6% · Ask 7.0% ↑ 49% Open Polymarket ↗	—
50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.1% Bid 2.6% · Ask 7.6% ↑ 50% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Above 37.4% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0% Above 37.4% Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Above 39.5 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Above 39.5 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 37.8 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0% Below 37.8 Open Kalshi ↗	—	—

37.8 to 38.0

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

37.8 to 38.0

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

38.1 to 38.3

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 5.0%

38.1 to 38.3

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

38.4 to 38.6

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

57.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 57.0%

38.4 to 38.6

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

38.7 to 38.9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

36.0%

Bid 33.0% · Ask 37.0%

38.7 to 38.9

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

39.0 to 39.2

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

39.0 to 39.2

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

39.3 to 39.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 2.0%

39.3 to 39.5

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

44%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.2%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 9.8%

↑ 44%

Open Polymarket ↗

45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 6.9%

↑ 45%

Open Polymarket ↗

46%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

10.1%

Bid 1.3% · Ask 18.8%

↑ 46%

Open Polymarket ↗

47%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

13.6%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 26.6%

↑ 47%

Open Polymarket ↗

48%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.3%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 10.3%

↑ 48%

Open Polymarket ↗

49%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 7.0%

↑ 49%

Open Polymarket ↗

50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.1%

Bid 2.6% · Ask 7.6%

↑ 50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Above 37.4%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 7.0%

Above 37.4%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Above 39.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Above 39.5

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 37.8

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

1.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 1.0%

Below 37.8

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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