The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

How long will Trump's next Press Secretary last?

2 venues · 100 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

99 outcomes · $194K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2028

8 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 53s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 21, 2029

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Alina Habba

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 2.9%

Alina Habba

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Anna Kelly

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Anna Kelly

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Ari Fleischer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Ari Fleischer

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

At least 7 days

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 97.0%

At least 7 days

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 14 days

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

90.0%

Bid 85.0% · Ask 95.0%

At least 14 days

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 30 days

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

85.0%

Bid 80.0% · Ask 90.0%

At least 30 days

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 60 days

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

80.0%

Bid 75.0% · Ask 85.0%

At least 60 days

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 100 days

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

68.0%

Bid 58.0% · Ask 68.0%

At least 100 days

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 180 days

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 40.0% · Ask 50.0%

At least 180 days

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 365 days

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

33.0%

Bid 23.0% · Ask 33.0%

At least 365 days

Open Kalshi ↗

At least 730 days

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

10.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 15.0%

At least 730 days

Open Kalshi ↗

Beni Rae Harmony

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.8%

Bid 2.4% · Ask 7.2%

Beni Rae Harmony

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AE · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AF · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AG · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AH · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AJ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AJ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AK

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AK · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AL

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AL · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AM · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AN

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AN · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AO

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AO · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AP · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AQ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AQ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AR

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AR · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AS

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AS · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AT

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AT · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AU

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AU · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AV · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AW

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AW · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AX

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AX · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AY

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AY · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate AZ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate AZ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BE · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BF · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BG · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BH · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BJ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BJ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BK

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BK · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BL

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BL · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BM

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BM · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BN

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BN · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BO

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BO · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BP

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BP · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BQ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BQ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BR

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BR · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BS

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BS · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BT

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BT · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BU

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BU · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BV

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BV · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BW

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BW · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BX

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BX · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BY

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BY · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate BZ

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate BZ · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate CA

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CA · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate CB

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CB · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate CC

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CC · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate CD

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CD · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate CE

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CE · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate CF

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CF · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate CG

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CG · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate CH

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CH · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Candidate CI

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Candidate CI · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Elizabeth Pipko

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 7.9% · Ask 9.0%

Elizabeth Pipko

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Harrison Fields

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 3.8%

Harrison Fields

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hogan Gidley

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.9%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 1.0%

Hogan Gidley

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Jake Paul

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.4%

Bid — · Ask 0.9%

Jake Paul

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kaelan Dorr

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Kaelan Dorr

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kari Lake

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 0.9%

Kari Lake

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Karoline Leavitt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.9%

Bid 1.6% · Ask 2.2%

Karoline Leavitt

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Katie Miller

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.6%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 4.9%

Katie Miller

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Katie Pavlich

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

Katie Pavlich

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kayleigh McEnany

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 1.2% · Ask 7.0%

Kayleigh McEnany

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Kush Desai

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Kush Desai

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lara Trump

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.5%

Lara Trump

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Laura Loomer

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 0.6% · Ask 4.0%

Laura Loomer

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lauren Bis

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.8%

Bid 2.5% · Ask 3.0%

Lauren Bis

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Liz Huston

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.9%

Liz Huston

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Margo Martin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.4%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 3.5%

Margo Martin

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Maria Bartiromo

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.7%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 5.2%

Maria Bartiromo

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Matthew Boyle

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Matthew Boyle

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Monica Crowley

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 3.4%

Monica Crowley

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Natalie Harp

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.6%

Bid 2.3% · Ask 3.0%

Natalie Harp

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Pat Adams

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.9%

Pat Adams

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Rachel Campos-Duffy

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.2%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 1.4%

Rachel Campos-Duffy

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Scott Jennings

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 11.0%

Scott Jennings

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Spencer Pratt

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 1.0%

Spencer Pratt

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Steven Cheung

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.8%

Steven Cheung

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Taylor Rogers

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.1%

Taylor Rogers

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tricia McLaughlin

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.4%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 2.8%

Tricia McLaughlin

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.