Market comparison

How low will BNB get in 2026?

2 venues · 24 outcome rows · 1 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

18 outcomes · $203K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

8 outcomes · $2K reported volume

Observed 58s ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for How low will BNB get in 2026?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
↓ 500 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	10.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 12.0% ↓ 500 Open Polymarket ↗	9.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0% Below $500.00 Open Kalshi ↗	1.0 pp
200 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.8% ↓ 200 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
300 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.0% Bid 3.1% · Ask 6.8% ↓ 300 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
400 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 9.0% ↓ 400 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
600 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 600 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 22.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0% ↓ 600 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
650 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	46.5% Bid 42.0% · Ask 51.0% ↓ 650 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
700 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 700 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
800 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 800 · closed Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	18.5% Bid 15.0% · Ask 22.0% ↑ 1000 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1100 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	12.5% Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0% ↑ 1100 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1200 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0% ↑ 1200 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1300 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 3.0% · Ask 10.0% ↑ 1300 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1400 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	5.7% Bid 1.4% · Ask 9.9% ↑ 1400 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1500 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.7% ↑ 1500 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1600 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.9% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.9% ↑ 1600 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
1800 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.1% Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.9% ↑ 1800 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
2000 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.5% Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9% ↑ 2000 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Below $480.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0% Below $480.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $490.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0% Below $490.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $510.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0% Below $510.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $520.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0% Below $520.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $530.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 14.0% Below $530.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $540.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0% Below $540.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $550.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 17.0% Below $550.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—

↓ 500

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

10.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 12.0%

↓ 500

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0%

Below $500.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 1.0 pp

200

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

3.0%

Bid 2.2% · Ask 3.8%

↓ 200

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

300

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 3.1% · Ask 6.8%

↓ 300

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

400

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 9.0%

↓ 400

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

600

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 600 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

22.0%

Bid 21.0% · Ask 23.0%

↓ 600

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

650

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

46.5%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 51.0%

↓ 650

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

700

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 700 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

800

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 800 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

18.5%

Bid 15.0% · Ask 22.0%

↑ 1000

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1100

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

12.5%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 14.0%

↑ 1100

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1200

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 10.0%

↑ 1200

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1300

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 10.0%

↑ 1300

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1400

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

5.7%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 9.9%

↑ 1400

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1500

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.7%

↑ 1500

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1600

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.9%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.9%

↑ 1600

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

1800

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 3.9%

↑ 1800

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

2000

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.5%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 0.9%

↑ 2000

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Below $480.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 8.0%

Below $480.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $490.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 9.0%

Below $490.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $510.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 10.0%

Below $510.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $520.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

7.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 11.0%

Below $520.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $530.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 14.0%

Below $530.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $540.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

15.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 15.0%

Below $540.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $550.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

17.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 17.0%

Below $550.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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