Market comparison

How low will HYPE get in October?

2 venues · 38 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

36 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 3m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

26 outcomes · $20K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 1, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

Known rule differences between venues

Kalshi settles on CF Benchmarks real-time indices (e.g. BRTI); Polymarket on Binance USDT-pair 1-minute candle highs/lows. A brief wick on one source may not appear on the other.
Windows differ: Polymarket counts from market creation; Kalshi rungs count from each rung's own start date (e.g. Feb 5, 2026 for some 2026 lows).
Kalshi rungs are strict ('Above $99,999.99', 'Below $55,000'); Polymarket rungs are inclusive. They differ only at exactly the level.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for How low will HYPE get in October?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
↑ 100 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	4.4% Bid 0.3% · Ask 8.5% ↑ 100 Open Polymarket ↗	8.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0% Above $100.00 Open Kalshi ↗	3.6 pp
↓ 60 Resolution sources differ Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.	4.3% Bid 0.3% · Ask 8.2% ↓ 60 Open Polymarket ↗	4.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0% Below $60.00 Open Kalshi ↗	0.3 pp
64 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 46.0% ↓ 64 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
68 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 29.0% ↓ 68 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
72 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	32.5% Bid 5.0% · Ask 60.0% ↓ 72 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
76 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	68.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 95.0% ↓ 76 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
80 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 80 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 80 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 80 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 80 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 80 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 80 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 80 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 80 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 80 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 75.5% Bid 54.0% · Ask 97.0% ↑ 80 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
84 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 84 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 84 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 84 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 84 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 84 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 40.0% Bid 11.0% · Ask 69.0% ↑ 84 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
88 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 88 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 88 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 88 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 88 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 88 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 88 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 23.0% Bid 7.0% · Ask 39.0% ↑ 88 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
92 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↓ 92 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% ↑ 92 · closed Open Polymarket ↗ 14.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 25.0% ↑ 92 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
96 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	35.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 70.0% ↑ 96 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
104 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 0.3% · Ask 8.7% ↑ 104 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
108 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.3% Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.1% ↑ 108 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
112 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.7% Bid 0.4% · Ask 5.0% ↑ 112 Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Above $90.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above $90.00 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $92.50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	62.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above $92.50 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $95.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Above $95.00 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $97.50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0% Above $97.50 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $102.50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Above $102.50 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $105.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Above $105.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Above $107.50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Above $107.50 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $42.50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Below $42.50 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $45.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Below $45.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $47.50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Below $47.50 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $50.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0% Below $50.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $52.50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Below $52.50 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $55.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Below $55.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $57.50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	3.5% Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0% Below $57.50 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $62.50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0% Below $62.50 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $65.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 14.0% Below $65.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $67.50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	19.0% Bid 10.0% · Ask 20.0% Below $67.50 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $70.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	30.0% Bid 22.0% · Ask 32.0% Below $70.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $72.50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	37.0% Bid 37.0% · Ask 45.0% Below $72.50 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $75.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	66.0% Bid 66.0% · Ask 72.0% Below $75.00 Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $77.50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	95.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below $77.50 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $80.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	50.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below $80.00 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $82.50 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	73.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below $82.50 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—
Below $85.00 Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	84.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% Below $85.00 · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—

↑ 100

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

4.4%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 8.5%

↑ 100

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 9.0%

Above $100.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.6 pp

↓ 60

Resolution sources differ

Do not treat this price difference as directly comparable.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 8.2%

↓ 60

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 8.0%

Below $60.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 0.3 pp

64

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 46.0%

↓ 64

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

68

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 29.0%

↓ 68

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

72

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

32.5%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 60.0%

↓ 72

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

76

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

68.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 95.0%

↓ 76

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

80

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 80 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 80 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 80 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 80 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 80 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 80 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 80 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 80 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 80 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

75.5%

Bid 54.0% · Ask 97.0%

↑ 80

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

84

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 84 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 84 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 84 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 84 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 84 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

40.0%

Bid 11.0% · Ask 69.0%

↑ 84

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

88

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 88 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 88 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 88 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 88 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 88 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 88 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

23.0%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 39.0%

↑ 88

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

92

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↓ 92 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

↑ 92 · closed

Open Polymarket ↗

14.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 25.0%

↑ 92

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

96

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

35.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 70.0%

↑ 96

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

104

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 8.7%

↑ 104

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

108

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.3%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 4.1%

↑ 108

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

112

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.7%

Bid 0.4% · Ask 5.0%

↑ 112

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Above $90.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $90.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $92.50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

62.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $92.50 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $95.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Above $95.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $97.50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

8.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 11.0%

Above $97.50

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $102.50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Above $102.50

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $105.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Above $105.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Above $107.50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Above $107.50

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $42.50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Below $42.50

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $45.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Below $45.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $47.50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Below $47.50

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $50.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 5.0%

Below $50.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $52.50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Below $52.50

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $55.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0%

Below $55.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $57.50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

3.5%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 7.0%

Below $57.50

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $62.50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

5.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 10.0%

Below $62.50

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $65.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 14.0%

Below $65.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $67.50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

19.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 20.0%

Below $67.50

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $70.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

30.0%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 32.0%

Below $70.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $72.50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 45.0%

Below $72.50

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $75.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

66.0%

Bid 66.0% · Ask 72.0%

Below $75.00

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $77.50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

95.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $77.50 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $80.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

50.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $80.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $82.50

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

73.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $82.50 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Below $85.00

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

84.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below $85.00 · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

View event details, charts and rules →Explore more markets