Market comparison

How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?

2 venues · 36 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

16 outcomes · $268K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

27 outcomes · $301K reported volume

Observed 55s ago

Observed 2m ago

Observed 55s ago

Recorded venue end date: Dec 31, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?
Outcome	Kalshi	Polymarket	Difference
49.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0% 49.99 or below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
54.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	3.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0% 54.99 or below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
55.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0% 55.99 or below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
56.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0% 56.99 or below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
57.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0% 57.99 or below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
58.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0% 58.99 or below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
59.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% 59.99 or below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
60.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0% 60.99 or below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
61.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0% 61.99 or below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
62.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.0% Bid 9.0% · Ask 11.0% 62.99 or below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
63.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0% 63.99 or below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
64.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	13.0% Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0% 64.99 or below Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
69.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	78.0% Bid 76.0% · Ask 78.0% 69.99 or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
74.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.0% Bid 93.0% · Ask 96.0% 74.99 or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
79.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	99.0% Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0% 79.99 or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
84.99 or below Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	98.0% Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0% 84.99 or below · closed Open Kalshi ↗	—	—
Below 3.90% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.5% Bid 4.3% · Ask 6.6% Below 3.90% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 4.00% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.5% Bid 3.9% · Ask 5.0% Below 4.00% Open Polymarket ↗ 4.3% Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.6% Below 4.00% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 4.10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.1% Bid 3.6% · Ask 4.6% Below 4.10% Open Polymarket ↗ 5.5% Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0% Below 4.10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 4.20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.3% Bid 4.6% · Ask 6.1% Below 4.20% Open Polymarket ↗ 11.5% Bid 2.0% · Ask 21.0% Below 4.20% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 4.25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.6% Bid 4.2% · Ask 5.0% Below 4.25% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 4.30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.3% Bid 4.4% · Ask 6.3% Below 4.30% Open Polymarket ↗ 23.5% Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0% Below 4.30% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 4.35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	15.0% Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0% Below 4.35% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 4.40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	18.0% Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0% Below 4.40% Open Polymarket ↗ 37.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 55.0% Below 4.40% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 4.45% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 31.0% · Ask 35.0% Below 4.45% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 4.50% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	42.0% Bid 41.0% · Ask 43.0% Below 4.50% Open Polymarket ↗ 67.5% Bid 59.0% · Ask 76.0% Below 4.50% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 4.60% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.0% Bid 3.3% · Ask 4.7% Below 4.60% Open Polymarket ↗ 75.5% Bid 74.0% · Ask 77.0% Below 4.60% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 4.70% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	100.0% Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0% Below 4.70% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 4.80% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.0% Bid 4.6% · Ask 5.4% Below 4.80% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 4.90% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.5% Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0% Below 4.90% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 4.95% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	14.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0% Below 4.95% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 5.00% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	20.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0% Below 5.00% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 5.05% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	28.5% Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0% Below 5.05% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 5.10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.0% Bid 29.0% · Ask 35.0% Below 5.10% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 5.15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	43.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 44.0% Below 5.15% Open Polymarket ↗	—
Below 5.20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 55.0% · Ask 57.0% Below 5.20% Open Polymarket ↗	—

49.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 3.0%

49.99 or below

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

54.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

3.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 4.0%

54.99 or below

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

55.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 4.0%

55.99 or below

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

56.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

56.99 or below

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

57.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 6.0%

57.99 or below

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

58.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

4.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

58.99 or below

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

59.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

59.99 or below

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

60.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

6.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 7.0%

60.99 or below

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

61.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 6.0% · Ask 9.0%

61.99 or below

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

62.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

9.0%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 11.0%

62.99 or below

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

63.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

63.99 or below

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

64.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 12.0% · Ask 13.0%

64.99 or below

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

69.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

78.0%

Bid 76.0% · Ask 78.0%

69.99 or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

74.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

92.0%

Bid 93.0% · Ask 96.0%

74.99 or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

79.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

79.99 or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

84.99 or below

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 99.0% · Ask 100.0%

84.99 or below · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 3.90%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.5%

Bid 4.3% · Ask 6.6%

Below 3.90%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 4.00%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 3.9% · Ask 5.0%

Below 4.00%

Open Polymarket ↗

4.3%

Bid 3.0% · Ask 5.6%

Below 4.00%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 4.10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.1%

Bid 3.6% · Ask 4.6%

Below 4.10%

Open Polymarket ↗

5.5%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 7.0%

Below 4.10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 4.20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 6.1%

Below 4.20%

Open Polymarket ↗

11.5%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 21.0%

Below 4.20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 4.25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.6%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 5.0%

Below 4.25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 4.30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.3%

Bid 4.4% · Ask 6.3%

Below 4.30%

Open Polymarket ↗

23.5%

Bid 22.0% · Ask 25.0%

Below 4.30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 4.35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

15.0%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 16.0%

Below 4.35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 4.40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

18.0%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 19.0%

Below 4.40%

Open Polymarket ↗

37.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 55.0%

Below 4.40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 4.45%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

33.0%

Bid 31.0% · Ask 35.0%

Below 4.45%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 4.50%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

42.0%

Bid 41.0% · Ask 43.0%

Below 4.50%

Open Polymarket ↗

67.5%

Bid 59.0% · Ask 76.0%

Below 4.50%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 4.60%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 4.7%

Below 4.60%

Open Polymarket ↗

75.5%

Bid 74.0% · Ask 77.0%

Below 4.60%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 4.70%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

100.0%

Bid 99.9% · Ask 100.0%

Below 4.70%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 4.80%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 4.6% · Ask 5.4%

Below 4.80%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 4.90%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 16.0%

Below 4.90%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 4.95%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

14.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 15.0%

Below 4.95%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 5.00%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

20.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 21.0%

Below 5.00%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 5.05%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

28.5%

Bid 28.0% · Ask 29.0%

Below 5.05%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 5.10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

32.0%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 35.0%

Below 5.10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 5.15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

43.0%

Bid 42.0% · Ask 44.0%

Below 5.15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 5.20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

56.0%

Bid 55.0% · Ask 57.0%

Below 5.20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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