The Prediction Markets

Market comparison

How low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?

2 venues · 21 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

9 outcomes · $338K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Jan 7, 2027

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

18 outcomes · $40K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Observed 1m ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Oct 24, 2026

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

36.0+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

98.7%

Bid 97.4% · Ask 99.9%

36.0+

Open Polymarket ↗

37.0+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

99.4%

Bid 98.9% · Ask 99.8%

37.0+

Open Polymarket ↗

37.5

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.3%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.5%

<37.5

Open Polymarket ↗

13.5%

Bid 13.0% · Ask 14.0%

<37.5

Open Polymarket ↗

37.5–37.9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.4%

37.5–37.9

Open Polymarket ↗

8.0%

Bid 5.0% · Ask 11.0%

37.5–37.9

Open Polymarket ↗

38.0–38.4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

11.0%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 12.0%

38.0–38.4

Open Polymarket ↗

12.0%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 16.0%

38.0–38.4

Open Polymarket ↗

38.0+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

96.0%

Bid 93.1% · Ask 98.9%

38.0+

Open Polymarket ↗

38.5–38.9

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

79.0%

Bid 73.0% · Ask 85.0%

38.5–38.9

Open Polymarket ↗

43.5%

Bid 43.0% · Ask 44.0%

38.5–38.9

Open Polymarket ↗

39.0–39.4

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

6.9%

Bid 3.2% · Ask 10.5%

39.0–39.4

Open Polymarket ↗

11.5%

Bid 10.0% · Ask 13.0%

39.0–39.4

Open Polymarket ↗

39.0+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

5.0%

Bid 4.0% · Ask 6.0%

39.0+

Open Polymarket ↗

39.5+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

39.5+

Open Polymarket ↗

9.5%

Bid 9.0% · Ask 10.0%

39.5+

Open Polymarket ↗

40.0+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.7%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 2.6%

40.0+

Open Polymarket ↗

41.0+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

—

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.3% · Ask 1.8%

41.0+

Open Polymarket ↗

Below 33%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

11.0%

Bid 9.3% · Ask 11.0%

Below 33%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 34%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

21.0%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 22.0%

Below 34%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

37.0%

Bid 37.0% · Ask 39.0%

Below 35%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 36%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

81.0%

Bid 81.0% · Ask 85.0%

Below 36%

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 37%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

99.3%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below 37% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 38%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below 38% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 39%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

88.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 90.1%

Below 39% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.8%

Bid 98.2% · Ask 99.4%

Below 40% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Below 41%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Kalshi

98.0%

Bid 0.0% · Ask 100.0%

Below 41% · closed

Open Kalshi ↗

Polymarket

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.