Market comparison
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?
2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 5 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗5 outcomes · $32K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗18 outcomes · $48K reported volume
Observed 1m ago
Observed 2m ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2026
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
0 Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.0 pp | ||
1 Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 6.0 pp | ||
2 Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.0 pp | ||
3 Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.5 pp | ||
4+ Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.7 pp | ||
5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Anna Paulson Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Beth Hammack Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Christopher Waller Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Jerome Powell Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
John Williams Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Kevin Warsh Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Lisa Cook Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Lorie Logan Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Michael Barr Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Michelle Bowman Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Neel Kashkari Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Philip Jefferson Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
0
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.0 pp
1
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 6.0 pp
2
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.0 pp
3
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.5 pp
4+
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.7 pp
5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Anna Paulson
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Beth Hammack
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Christopher Waller
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Jerome Powell
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
John Williams
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Kevin Warsh
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Lisa Cook
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Lorie Logan
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Michael Barr
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Michelle Bowman
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Neel Kashkari
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Philip Jefferson
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.