Market comparison
How many dissenting votes at the October Fed meeting?
2 venues · 6 outcome rows · 5 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Polymarket
Open venue ↗5 outcomes · $33K reported volume
Observed 16s ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2026
Kalshi
Open venue ↗6 outcomes · $21K reported volume
Observed 2m ago
Recorded venue end date: Oct 28, 2026
A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.
| Outcome | Polymarket | Kalshi | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
0 Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.5 pp | ||
1 Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.5 pp | ||
2 Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 2.5 pp | ||
3 Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 3.5 pp | ||
4+ Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified. | 4.0 pp | ||
5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
0
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.5 pp
1
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.5 pp
2
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 2.5 pp
3
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 3.5 pp
4+
Same label, rules unverifiedLabels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Polymarket
Kalshi
Price difference 4.0 pp
5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Polymarket
—
Kalshi
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.