Market comparison
How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
2 venues · 28 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active
Kalshi
Open venue ↗10 outcomes · $762K reported volume
Observed 3m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
Polymarket
Open venue ↗20 outcomes · $870K reported volume
Observed 5m ago
Observed 5m ago
Observed 3m ago
Recorded venue end date: Jan 1, 2027
No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|
5 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
5-6 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
7-8 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
9-10 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
11-12 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
13-14 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
14 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
15 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
15-16 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
16 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
17+ Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
100 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
100-119 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
120-139 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
140-159 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
160-179 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
180-199 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
200 or more Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 120 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 140 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 145 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 150 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 160 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 170 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 180 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 190 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 200 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — | |
Above 210 Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts. | — | — |
5
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
5-6
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
7-8
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
9-10
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
11-12
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
13-14
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
14
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
15
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
15-16
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
16
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
17+
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
100
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
100-119
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
120-139
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
140-159
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
160-179
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
180-199
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
200 or more
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
Above 120
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 140
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 145
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 150
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 160
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 170
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 180
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 190
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 200
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Above 210
Not alignedNo persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.
Kalshi
Polymarket
—
Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.