Market comparison

Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner

2 venues · 5 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

31 outcomes · $24K reported volume

Observed 4m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 29, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 5m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 28, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Hsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Cheng Chao-fang Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	63.0% Bid 60.0% · Ask 66.0% Cheng Chao-fang Open Polymarket ↗	67.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 97.0% Cheng Chao-fang Open Kalshi ↗	4.0 pp
Hsu Hsin-ying Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	31.5% Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0% Hsu Hsin-ying Open Polymarket ↗	25.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 41.0% Hsu Hsin-ying Open Kalshi ↗	6.5 pp
Chen Chien-hsien Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Chen Chien-hsien Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Chu Ting-yu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.5% Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0% Chu Ting-yu Open Kalshi ↗	—
Lin Szu-ming Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% Lin Szu-ming Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Cheng Chao-fang

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

63.0%

Bid 60.0% · Ask 66.0%

Cheng Chao-fang

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 97.0%

Cheng Chao-fang

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 4.0 pp

Hsu Hsin-ying

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

31.5%

Bid 30.0% · Ask 33.0%

Hsu Hsin-ying

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 41.0%

Hsu Hsin-ying

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 6.5 pp

Chen Chien-hsien

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Chen Chien-hsien

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Chu Ting-yu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.5%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 4.0%

Chu Ting-yu

Open Kalshi ↗

Lin Szu-ming

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Lin Szu-ming

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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