Market comparison

Hsinchu County magistrate election winner?

2 venues · 14 outcome rows · 2 comparable lines · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

94 outcomes · $47K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Observed 24s ago

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 29, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

3 outcomes · $1K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 28, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

A shared identity alone does not make a price difference executable.

Available outcome prices by venue for Hsinchu County magistrate election winner?
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Cheng Chao-fang Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	63.5% Bid 62.0% · Ask 65.0% Cheng Chao-fang Open Polymarket ↗	67.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 97.0% Cheng Chao-fang Open Kalshi ↗	3.5 pp
Hsu Hsin-ying Same label, rules unverified Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.	30.5% Bid 27.0% · Ask 34.0% Hsu Hsin-ying Open Polymarket ↗	25.0% Bid 2.0% · Ask 42.0% Hsu Hsin-ying Open Kalshi ↗	5.5 pp
Chen Chien-hsien Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Chen Chien-hsien Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Chen Su-yueh Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	92.5% Bid 92.0% · Ask 93.0% Chen Su-yueh Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Chiu Chien-fu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Chiu Chien-fu Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Chu Ting-yu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0% Chu Ting-yu Open Kalshi ↗	—
Huang Hsiu-fang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Huang Hsiu-fang Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Hung Jung-chang Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Hung Jung-chang Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lin Shih-hsien Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.2% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3% Lin Shih-hsien Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Lin Szu-ming Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.2% Lin Szu-ming Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tsai Sung-yi Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.7% Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1% Tsai Sung-yi Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Tsai Yi-yu Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	90.5% Bid 89.0% · Ask 92.0% Tsai Yi-yu Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Wei Ping-cheng Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.0% Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0% Wei Ping-cheng Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Wu Pin-jui Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0% Wu Pin-jui Open Polymarket ↗	—	—

Cheng Chao-fang

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

63.5%

Bid 62.0% · Ask 65.0%

Cheng Chao-fang

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

67.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 97.0%

Cheng Chao-fang

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 3.5 pp

Hsu Hsin-ying

Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Polymarket

30.5%

Bid 27.0% · Ask 34.0%

Hsu Hsin-ying

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

25.0%

Bid 2.0% · Ask 42.0%

Hsu Hsin-ying

Open Kalshi ↗

Price difference 5.5 pp

Chen Chien-hsien

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Chen Chien-hsien

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Chen Su-yueh

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

92.5%

Bid 92.0% · Ask 93.0%

Chen Su-yueh

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Chiu Chien-fu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Chiu Chien-fu

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Chu Ting-yu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

2.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 3.0%

Chu Ting-yu

Open Kalshi ↗

Huang Hsiu-fang

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Huang Hsiu-fang

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Hung Jung-chang

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Hung Jung-chang

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lin Shih-hsien

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.2%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.3%

Lin Shih-hsien

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Lin Szu-ming

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.2%

Lin Szu-ming

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tsai Sung-yi

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.7%

Bid 0.2% · Ask 1.1%

Tsai Sung-yi

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Tsai Yi-yu

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

90.5%

Bid 89.0% · Ask 92.0%

Tsai Yi-yu

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Wei Ping-cheng

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.0%

Bid 1.0% · Ask 7.0%

Wei Ping-cheng

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Wu Pin-jui

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 8.0% · Ask 9.0%

Wu Pin-jui

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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