Market comparison

Idaho Senate margin of victory

2 venues · 30 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $17K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

19 outcomes · $15K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Idaho Senate margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.6% Bid 1.5% · Ask 1.6% Democrat Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Independent Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	6.5% Bid 4.2% · Ask 8.7% Independent Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.5% Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.2% Republican 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	7.8% Bid 0.7% · Ask 15.0% Republican 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	16.5% Bid 14.0% · Ask 19.0% Republican 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	27.5% Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0% Republican 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	17.5% Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0% Republican 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.5% Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0% Republican 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	10.4% Bid 6.2% · Ask 14.7% Republican 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 35-40% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	2.2% Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.6% Republican 35-40% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican 40%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	4.3% Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.6% Republican 40%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Risch, 3+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	91.5% Bid 88.0% · Ask 95.0% Risch, 3+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	90.1% Bid 86.0% · Ask 94.9% Risch, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 7+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	79.0% Bid 78.0% · Ask 88.0% Risch, 7+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 9+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	81.0% Bid 71.0% · Ask 81.0% Risch, 9+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	70.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 73.0% Risch, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 13+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	64.0% Bid 53.0% · Ask 64.0% Risch, 13+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 15+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	53.0% Bid 42.0% · Ask 53.0% Risch, 15+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 32.0% · Ask 43.0% Risch, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 19+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	33.0% Bid 21.0% · Ask 33.0% Risch, 19+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 21+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	22.0% Bid 13.0% · Ask 25.0% Risch, 21+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	17.0% Bid 6.4% · Ask 17.0% Risch, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 25+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 3.1% · Ask 13.0% Risch, 25+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 27+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	9.9% Bid 0.3% · Ask 9.9% Risch, 27+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	8.0% Bid 0.7% · Ask 8.2% Risch, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 31+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	7.0% Bid 3.1% · Ask 7.0% Risch, 31+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 33+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	4.9% Bid 3.1% · Ask 6.5% Risch, 33+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 35+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	6.2% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.2% Risch, 35+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 37+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	2.3% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Risch, 37+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Risch, 39+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	5.1% Bid 0.0% · Ask 6.0% Risch, 39+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.6%

Bid 1.5% · Ask 1.6%

Democrat Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Independent Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

6.5%

Bid 4.2% · Ask 8.7%

Independent Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.5%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 8.2%

Republican 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

7.8%

Bid 0.7% · Ask 15.0%

Republican 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

16.5%

Bid 14.0% · Ask 19.0%

Republican 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

27.5%

Bid 26.0% · Ask 29.0%

Republican 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

17.5%

Bid 17.0% · Ask 18.0%

Republican 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.5%

Bid 7.0% · Ask 10.0%

Republican 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

10.4%

Bid 6.2% · Ask 14.7%

Republican 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 35-40%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

2.2%

Bid 0.8% · Ask 3.6%

Republican 35-40%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican 40%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

4.3%

Bid 1.1% · Ask 7.6%

Republican 40%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Risch, 3+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

91.5%

Bid 88.0% · Ask 95.0%

Risch, 3+ pts

Idaho Senate margin of victory

Polymarket

Kalshi

Democrat Wins

Polymarket

Kalshi

Independent Wins

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 0-5%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 5-10%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 10-15%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 15-20%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 20-25%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 25-30%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 30-35%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 35-40%

Polymarket

Kalshi

Republican 40%+

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risch, 3+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risch, 5+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risch, 7+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risch, 9+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risch, 11+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risch, 13+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risch, 15+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risch, 17+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risch, 19+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risch, 21+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risch, 23+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risch, 25+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risch, 27+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risch, 29+ pts

Polymarket

Kalshi

Risch, 31+ pts

Polymarket