Market comparison

Illinois's 14th District margin of victory

2 venues · 18 outcome rows · 0 comparable lines · event identity linked · 0 verified parity · active

Polymarket

Open venue ↗

12 outcomes · $23K reported volume

Observed 1m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 4, 2026

Kalshi

Open venue ↗

9 outcomes · $4K reported volume

Observed 2m ago

Recorded venue end date: Nov 3, 2027

Check settlement rules before comparing contracts. Matched outcomes may settle differently. These venues also report end dates more than 48 hours apart; event identity does not mean the contracts close or settle together. These are stored prices; record update times do not certify live quotes. Differences exclude fees and available size.

No shared outcome identities or comparable outcome lines are available for this event. Each venue’s outcomes are listed separately.

Available outcome prices by venue for Illinois's 14th District margin of victory
Outcome	Polymarket	Kalshi	Difference
Democrat 0-5% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2% Democrat 0-5% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 5-10% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	1.1% Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.7% Democrat 5-10% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 10-15% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.1% Bid 1.4% · Ask 14.8% Democrat 10-15% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 15-20% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	38.0% Bid 35.0% · Ask 41.0% Democrat 15-20% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 20-25% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	23.0% Bid 19.0% · Ask 27.0% Democrat 20-25% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 25-30% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	21.5% Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0% Democrat 25-30% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 30-35% Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	8.0% Bid 7.5% · Ask 8.4% Democrat 30-35% Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Democrat 35%+ Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	9.4% Bid 3.3% · Ask 15.5% Democrat 35%+ Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Republican Wins Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	0.1% Bid — · Ask 0.1% Republican Wins Open Polymarket ↗	—	—
Underwood, 5+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	86.0% Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.8% Underwood, 5+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Underwood, 8+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	83.0% Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0% Underwood, 8+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Underwood, 11+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	74.0% Bid 70.0% · Ask 78.0% Underwood, 11+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Underwood, 14+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	69.0% Bid 61.0% · Ask 71.0% Underwood, 14+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Underwood, 17+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	56.0% Bid 52.0% · Ask 57.0% Underwood, 17+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Underwood, 20+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	40.0% Bid 39.0% · Ask 47.0% Underwood, 20+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Underwood, 23+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	32.5% Bid 29.0% · Ask 36.0% Underwood, 23+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Underwood, 26+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	21.5% Bid 18.0% · Ask 25.0% Underwood, 26+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—
Underwood, 29+ pts Not aligned No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.	—	13.0% Bid 5.8% · Ask 17.0% Underwood, 29+ pts Open Kalshi ↗	—

Democrat 0-5%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid 0.1% · Ask 0.2%

Democrat 0-5%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 5-10%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

1.1%

Bid 0.5% · Ask 1.7%

Democrat 5-10%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 10-15%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.1%

Bid 1.4% · Ask 14.8%

Democrat 10-15%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 15-20%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

38.0%

Bid 35.0% · Ask 41.0%

Democrat 15-20%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 20-25%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

23.0%

Bid 19.0% · Ask 27.0%

Democrat 20-25%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 25-30%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

21.5%

Bid 20.0% · Ask 23.0%

Democrat 25-30%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 30-35%

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

8.0%

Bid 7.5% · Ask 8.4%

Democrat 30-35%

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Democrat 35%+

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

9.4%

Bid 3.3% · Ask 15.5%

Democrat 35%+

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Republican Wins

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

0.1%

Bid — · Ask 0.1%

Republican Wins

Open Polymarket ↗

Kalshi

—

Underwood, 5+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

86.0%

Bid 84.0% · Ask 95.8%

Underwood, 5+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Underwood, 8+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

83.0%

Bid 77.0% · Ask 89.0%

Underwood, 8+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Underwood, 11+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

74.0%

Bid 70.0% · Ask 78.0%

Underwood, 11+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Underwood, 14+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

69.0%

Bid 61.0% · Ask 71.0%

Underwood, 14+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Underwood, 17+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

56.0%

Bid 52.0% · Ask 57.0%

Underwood, 17+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Underwood, 20+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

40.0%

Bid 39.0% · Ask 47.0%

Underwood, 20+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Underwood, 23+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

32.5%

Bid 29.0% · Ask 36.0%

Underwood, 23+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Underwood, 26+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

21.5%

Bid 18.0% · Ask 25.0%

Underwood, 26+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Underwood, 29+ pts

Not aligned

No persisted outcome identity connects these venue contracts.

Polymarket

—

Kalshi

13.0%

Bid 5.8% · Ask 17.0%

Underwood, 29+ pts

Open Kalshi ↗

Prices are shown as percentages of a $1 payout. “pp” means percentage points. A dash means data is unavailable.

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